Conference League | Second Qualifying Round | 1st Leg
Jul 21, 2022 at 7pm UK
Stadio Harilaou Kleánthis Vikelídis
Aris5 - 1Gomel
Coverage of the Conference League Second Qualifying Round clash between Aris Thessaloniki and Gomel.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: PAS Giannina 0-3 Aris
Tuesday, May 17 at 6pm in Greek Superleague
Tuesday, May 17 at 6pm in Greek Superleague
Next Game: Aris vs. Neftchi Baku
Thursday, July 21 at 6.30pm in Europa Conference League
Thursday, July 21 at 6.30pm in Europa Conference League
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 3 | AEK Athens | 25 | 13 | 43 |
| 4 | Aris Thessaloniki | 25 | 6 | 42 |
| 5 | Panathinaikos | 25 | 18 | 39 |
Last Game: Gomel 0-3 FC Minsk
Friday, July 15 at 6pm in Belarusian Premier League
Friday, July 15 at 6pm in Belarusian Premier League
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 8 | Neman | 14 | 3 | 20 |
| 9 | Gomel | 15 | -2 | 20 |
| 10 | Torpedo-BelAZ | 15 | -2 | 20 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aris Thessaloniki win with a probability of 48.9%. A win for Gomel had a probability of 26.23% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aris Thessaloniki win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.46%) and 2-0 (8.57%). The likeliest Gomel win was 0-1 (7.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.81%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Aris Thessaloniki would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Aris Thessaloniki | Draw | Gomel |
48.9% ( 0.03) | 24.87% ( 0.06) | 26.23% ( -0.08) |
| Both teams to score 53.38% ( -0.24) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
