Europa League | Third Qualifying Round | 2nd Leg
Aug 12, 2021 at 5pm UK
Bolt Arena
HJK Helsinki3 - 0Neftchi Baku
FT(HT: 0-0)
Mbodj (60'), Harramiz (66'), Nacafov (83')
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a HJK Helsinki win with a probability of 47.76%. A win for Neftchi Baku had a probability of 27.6% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a HJK Helsinki win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.42%) and 2-0 (8.06%). The likeliest Neftchi Baku win was 0-1 (7.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.66%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that HJK Helsinki would win this match.
Result | ||
HJK Helsinki | Draw | Neftchi Baku |
47.76% | 24.64% | 27.6% |
Both teams to score 55.24% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.7% | 47.3% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.47% | 69.52% |
HJK Helsinki Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.13% | 19.87% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.02% | 51.97% |
Neftchi Baku Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.93% | 31.07% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.61% | 67.38% |
Score Analysis |
HJK Helsinki 47.76%
Neftchi Baku 27.6%
Draw 24.64%
HJK Helsinki | Draw | Neftchi Baku |
1-0 @ 9.98% 2-1 @ 9.42% 2-0 @ 8.06% 3-1 @ 5.08% 3-0 @ 4.34% 3-2 @ 2.97% 4-1 @ 2.05% 4-0 @ 1.75% 4-2 @ 1.2% Other @ 2.91% Total : 47.76% | 1-1 @ 11.66% 0-0 @ 6.17% 2-2 @ 5.51% 3-3 @ 1.16% Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.64% | 0-1 @ 7.22% 1-2 @ 6.82% 0-2 @ 4.22% 1-3 @ 2.66% 2-3 @ 2.15% 0-3 @ 1.64% Other @ 2.9% Total : 27.6% |
How you voted: HJK Helsinki vs Neftchi Baku
HJK Helsinki
85.3%Draw
5.9%Neftchi Baku
8.8%68
Head to Head
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-07-04 19:38:55
Friday, July 5
5pm
Quarter-Finals
Spain
vs.
Germany
8pm
Quarter-Finals
Portugal
vs.
France
Saturday, July 6
5pm
Quarter-Finals
England
vs.
Switzerland
8pm
Quarter-Finals
Netherlands
vs.
Turkey
Tuesday, July 9
8pm
Wednesday, July 10
8pm
Sunday, July 14
8pm
Group A
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | Germany | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | Switzerland | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | Hungary | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | Scotland | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Group D
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | Austria | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | France | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | Netherlands | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | Poland | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
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