MX23RW : Tuesday, November 5 07:58:01| >> :120:77920:77920:
Conference League | Second Qualifying Round | 2nd Leg
Jul 28, 2022 at 8pm UK
Puskás Akadémia Pancho Aréna
Vitoria de Guimaraes

Puskas Academy
0 - 0
Guimaraes


Komaromi (26'), Szolnoki (36'), van Nieff (72'), Urblik (78'), Baluta (90+2')
FT

Maga (28'), Amaro (70')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa Conference League clash between Puskas Academy and Vitoria de Guimaraes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

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Last Game: Guimaraes 3-0 Puskas Academy
Thursday, July 21 at 8.30pm in Europa Conference League
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We said: Puskas Academy 0-2 Vitoria de Guimaraes (Vitoria de Guimaraes to win 5-0 on aggregate)

After easing to victory in the first leg, Vitoria de Guimaraes are the strong favourites to come out on top in the reverse fixture and progress to the next round. Puskas Academy will be keen to put up a fight on home soil, but we expect the visitors to secure another routine win. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Puskas Academy win with a probability of 42.52%. A win for Vitoria de Guimaraes had a probability of 31.26% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Puskas Academy win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.83%) and 2-0 (7.51%). The likeliest Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 0-1 (8.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.46%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.

Result
Puskas AcademyDrawVitoria de Guimaraes
42.52% (0.173 0.17) 26.21% (0.038 0.04) 31.26% (-0.209 -0.21)
Both teams to score 52.36% (-0.204 -0.2)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.94% (-0.223 -0.22)52.06% (0.226 0.23)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.21% (-0.194 -0.19)73.79% (0.197 0.2)
Puskas Academy Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.73% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)24.27% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.37% (-0.019000000000005 -0.02)58.63% (0.019999999999996 0.02)
Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.13% (-0.25700000000001 -0.26)30.87% (0.258 0.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.85% (-0.306 -0.31)67.15% (0.307 0.31)
Score Analysis
    Puskas Academy 42.52%
    Vitoria de Guimaraes 31.26%
    Draw 26.21%
Puskas AcademyDrawVitoria de Guimaraes
1-0 @ 10.6% (0.09 0.09)
2-1 @ 8.83% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-0 @ 7.51% (0.061 0.06)
3-1 @ 4.17% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 3.55% (0.028 0.03)
3-2 @ 2.45% (-0.016 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.48%
4-0 @ 1.26% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 42.52%
1-1 @ 12.46% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
0-0 @ 7.49% (0.066999999999999 0.07)
2-2 @ 5.19% (-0.032 -0.03)
3-3 @ 0.96% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.21%
0-1 @ 8.81% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
1-2 @ 7.33% (-0.042 -0.04)
0-2 @ 5.18% (-0.028 -0.03)
1-3 @ 2.87% (-0.037 -0.04)
2-3 @ 2.03% (-0.027 -0.03)
0-3 @ 2.03% (-0.025 -0.02)
Other @ 3.02%
Total : 31.26%

How you voted: Puskas Academy vs Guimaraes

Puskas Academy
18.4%
Draw
21.1%
Vitoria de Guimaraes
60.5%
38
Head to Head
Jul 21, 2022 8.30pm
Guimaraes
3-0
Puskas Academy
Lameiras (4'), Silva (39'), Silva (65')
Silva (90+2'), Silva (90+9')

van Nieff (48'), Stronati (68')
rhs 2.0
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