Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 54.27%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Santa Clara had a probability of 21.25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.28%) and 2-1 (9.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.61%), while for a Santa Clara win it was 0-1 (7.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood.