Europa Conference League | Second Qualifying Round | 1st Leg
Jul 21, 2022 at 8pm UK
Stadion GKS-u
Rakow5 - 0Astana
Ivi (4'), Wdowiak (42'), Gutkovskis (66'), Kochergin (77'), Tudor (90+5' pen.)
Sorescu (12'), Racovitan (32')
Sorescu (21')
Sorescu (12'), Racovitan (32')
Sorescu (21')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Manzorro (13'), Darabaev (29'), Kusyapov (48'), Dosmagambetov (69'), Beskorovainyi (90+3')
Darabaev (62')
Coverage of the Europa Conference League Second Qualifying Round clash between Rakow Czestochowa and Astana.
Form, Standings, Stats
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rakow Czestochowa win with a probability of 53.63%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Astana had a probability of 22.44%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rakow Czestochowa win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.73%) and 2-0 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.37%), while for an Astana win it was 0-1 (6.65%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rakow Czestochowa would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Rakow Czestochowa | Draw | Astana |
53.63% ( 0.01) | 23.93% ( 0.01) | 22.44% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 52.29% ( -0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
