Conference League | Second Qualifying Round | 2nd Leg
Jul 28, 2022 at 4pm UK
Astana Arena
Astana0 - 1Rakow
Coverage of the Conference League Second Qualifying Round clash between Astana and Rakow Czestochowa.
Form, Standings, Stats
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rakow Czestochowa win with a probability of 42.15%. A win for Astana had a probability of 35.29% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rakow Czestochowa win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (5.94%) and 0-2 (5.3%). The likeliest Astana win was 2-1 (7.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.62%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rakow Czestochowa would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Astana | Draw | Rakow Czestochowa |
35.29% ( 0.01) | 22.56% ( 0.02) | 42.15% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 66.7% ( -0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 66.06% ( -0.11) | 33.94% ( 0.11) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 44.2% ( -0.13) | 55.8% ( 0.13) |
| Astana Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.17% ( -0.05) | 19.82% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 48.09% ( -0.08) | 51.9% ( 0.08) |
| Rakow Czestochowa Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.19% ( -0.05) | 16.8% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 53.22% ( -0.1) | 46.78% ( 0.1) |
| Score Analysis |
Astana 35.29%
Rakow Czestochowa 42.15%
Draw 22.56%
| Astana | Draw | Rakow Czestochowa |
| 2-1 @ 7.78% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 5.39% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 4.36% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 4.2% ( -0)3-2 @ 3.74% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 2.35% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.7% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.51% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 0.95% Other @ 3.3% Total : 35.29% | 1-1 @ 9.62% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 6.94% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 3.33% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 2.23% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.45% Total : 22.56% | 1-2 @ 8.57% ( 0) 0-1 @ 5.94% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 5.3% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 5.1% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 4.12% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 3.15% ( 0)1-4 @ 2.27% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.84% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 1.4% ( -0)3-4 @ 0.99% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.45% Total : 42.15% |
How you voted: Astana vs Rakow
Astana
33.3%Draw
16.7%Rakow Czestochowa
50.0%12
Head to Head
Jul 21, 2022 8pm
Rakow
5-0
Astana
Ivi (4'), Wdowiak (42'), Gutkovskis (66'), Kochergin (77'), Tudor (90+5' pen.)
Sorescu (12'), Racovitan (32')
Sorescu (21')
Sorescu (12'), Racovitan (32')
Sorescu (21')
Manzorro (13'), Darabaev (29'), Kusyapov (48'), Dosmagambetov (69'), Beskorovainyi (90+3')
Darabaev (62')
