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La Liga | Gameweek 2
Aug 21, 2022 at 6.30pm UK
Estadio Wanda Metropolitano
Villarreal logo

Atletico
0 - 2
Villarreal


Felix (48'), Gimenez (90+1')
Molina (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Pino (73'), Moreno (90+7')
Parejo (90+3'), Baena (90+4'), Moreno (90+9')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Atletico Madrid and Villarreal, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Villarreal 4-2 Hajduk Split
Thursday, August 18 at 7.45pm in Europa Conference League

We said: Atletico Madrid 2-1 Villarreal

Despite both meetings ending as 2-2 draws last season, we expect Atletico to record a victory this time around. The hosts should be fresher after Villarreal played in midweek, and we expect this to pay dividends, particularly later in the match with Simeone having so many excellent attacking options to call upon from the bench. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 45.05%. A draw had a probability of 27.9% and a win for Villarreal had a probability of 27.02%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.96%) and 2-1 (8.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.95%), while for a Villarreal win it was 0-1 (9.81%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.

Result
Atletico MadridDrawVillarreal
45.05% (-0.061 -0.06) 27.93% (0.015000000000001 0.02) 27.02% (0.043999999999997 0.04)
Both teams to score 45.11% (-0.012 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.77% (-0.029999999999994 -0.03)60.23% (0.028999999999996 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.58% (-0.023 -0.02)80.41% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Atletico Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.31% (-0.046999999999997 -0.05)26.69% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.06% (-0.059000000000005 -0.06)61.94% (0.058 0.06)
Villarreal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.53% (0.020000000000003 0.02)38.47% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.78% (0.02 0.02)75.22% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Atletico Madrid 45.05%
    Villarreal 27.02%
    Draw 27.92%
Atletico MadridDrawVillarreal
1-0 @ 13.56%
2-0 @ 8.96% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.56% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-0 @ 3.94% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.77% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.8% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
4-0 @ 1.3% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.25% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 1.92%
Total : 45.05%
1-1 @ 12.95%
0-0 @ 10.26% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.09% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
Other @ 0.62%
Total : 27.92%
0-1 @ 9.81% (0.017000000000001 0.02)
1-2 @ 6.19% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
0-2 @ 4.69% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.97% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 1.49% (0.004 0)
2-3 @ 1.3% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 1.57%
Total : 27.02%

How you voted: Atletico vs Villarreal

Atletico Madrid
72.8%
Draw
21.3%
Villarreal
5.9%
136
Head to Head
Jan 9, 2022 8pm
Aug 29, 2021 9pm
Atletico
2-2
Villarreal
Suarez (56'), Mandi (90+4' og.)
Simeone (16'), Correa (28'), Lemar (45'), Suarez (59'), De Paul (85')
Trigueros (52'), Danjuma (74')
Moreno (61'), Rulli (85')
Feb 28, 2021 8pm
Villarreal
0-2
Atletico

Costa (32'), Albiol (51')
Pedraza (25' og.), Felix (69')
Felipe (35'), Lemar (45+5'), Niguez (47')
Oct 3, 2020 3pm
Feb 23, 2020 8pm
Atletico
3-1
Villarreal
Correa (40'), Koke (64'), Felix (74')
Niguez (61'), Felix (90')
Alcacer (16')
Pena (25')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Barcelona26183571254657
2Real Madrid27176457263157
3Atletico MadridAtletico27168344182656
4Athletic Bilbao271310445242149
5Villarreal26128648361244
6Real BetisBetis2711883533241
7Mallorca27107102633-737
8Rayo Vallecano279992929036
9Celta Vigo27106114041-136
10Sevilla279993236-436
11Real Sociedad27104132328-534
12Getafe2789102322133
13Osasuna2671273237-533
14GironaGirona2695123439-532
15Espanyol2576122436-1227
16Valencia2769123045-1527
17Leganes2769122440-1627
18AlavesAlaves2768133040-1026
19Las PalmasLas Palmas2766153045-1524
20Real ValladolidValladolid2744191862-4416


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