Europa League | Group Stage
Oct 5, 2023 at 5.45pm UK
Olympiako Stadio Spyros Louis
AEK Athens1 - 1Ajax
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: OFI Crete 2-0 AEK Athens
Monday, October 2 at 6pm in Greek Superleague
Monday, October 2 at 6pm in Greek Superleague
Last Game: RKC Waalwijk 2-3 Ajax
Saturday, September 30 at 8pm in Eredivisie
Saturday, September 30 at 8pm in Eredivisie
We said: AEK Athens 2-2 Ajax
AEK Athens will fancy their chances of claiming another scalp when they face an out-of-sorts Ajax side who have failed to win each of their last five games in all competitions, excluding the abandoned clash with RKC Waalwijk last weekend. Considering the threat that both teams will likely pose in attack, we can see an entertaining score draw played out in Greece. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 45.25%. A win for AEK Athens had a probability of 32.28% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.32%) and 0-2 (5.82%). The likeliest AEK Athens win was 2-1 (7.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.67%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| AEK Athens | Draw | Ajax |
32.28% ( -2.57) | 22.48% ( -0.18) | 45.25% ( 2.75) |
| Both teams to score 65.93% ( -0.29) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 65.48% ( 0.01) | 34.52% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 43.55% ( 0.01) | 56.45% ( -0.01) |
| AEK Athens Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.35% ( -1.34) | 21.65% ( 1.34) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 45.22% ( -2.09) | 54.78% ( 2.09) |
| Ajax Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.15% ( 1.06) | 15.85% ( -1.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 54.95% ( 1.91) | 45.05% ( -1.91) |
| Score Analysis |
AEK Athens 32.28%
Ajax 45.25%
Draw 22.48%
| AEK Athens | Draw | Ajax |
| 2-1 @ 7.4% ( -0.35) 1-0 @ 5.25% ( -0.22)2-0 @ 4.02% ( -0.35)3-1 @ 3.77% ( -0.35)3-2 @ 3.48% ( -0.19)3-0 @ 2.05% ( -0.27)4-1 @ 1.44% ( -0.2)4-2 @ 1.33% ( -0.13)Other @ 3.54% Total : 32.28% | 1-1 @ 9.67% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 6.82% ( -0.08)0-0 @ 3.43% ( -0)3-3 @ 2.13% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.42% Total : 22.48% | 1-2 @ 8.91% ( 0.26) 0-1 @ 6.32% ( 0.22)0-2 @ 5.82% ( 0.4)1-3 @ 5.47% ( 0.35)2-3 @ 4.18% ( 0.1)0-3 @ 3.58% ( 0.36)1-4 @ 2.52% ( 0.24)2-4 @ 1.93% ( 0.11)0-4 @ 1.65% ( 0.22)3-4 @ 0.98% ( 0.02)1-5 @ 0.93% ( 0.12)Other @ 2.96% Total : 45.25% |
How you voted: AEK Athens vs Ajax
AEK Athens
32.9%Draw
27.4%Ajax
39.7%146
Head to Head
Nov 27, 2018 5.55pm
Group Stage
AEK Athens
0-2
Ajax
Sep 19, 2018 5.55pm
Group Stage
Ajax
3-0
AEK Athens
