Europa League

Europa League | Playoffs | 1st Leg

Aug 24, 2023 at 7pm UK

Huvepharma Arena (Razgrad)

Ludogorets
1 - 4
Ajax

(Ajax win 4-2 on aggregate)

Verdon (70' pen.)

FT(HT: 0-3)

Kudus (16', 18', 50'), Brobbey (40')
Medic (81')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Ludogorets Razgrad and Ajax, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Ludogorets Razgrad

Last Game: Ludogorets 5-1 Astana
Thursday, August 17 at 7pm in Europa League

Ajax

All competitions

Last Game: Excelsior 2-2 Ajax
Saturday, August 19 at 3.30pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Ludogorets Razgrad 1-2 Ajax

Having already lost a couple of league games in uncharacteristic fashion, Ludogorets look set to suffer another defeat when Ajax visit Huvepharma Arena, although Thursday's clash will likely be a tight affair as both sides aim to remain in the tie. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ludogorets Razgrad win with a probability of 49.72%. A win for Ajax had a probability of 29.24% and a draw had a probability of 21%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ludogorets Razgrad win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.14%) and 2-0 (5.57%). The likeliest Ajax win was 1-2 (6.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Ajax would win this match.

Result
Ludogorets Razgrad	Draw	Ajax
49.72%	21.04%	29.24%

Both teams to score 69.59%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

70.98%

29.02%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

49.99%

50%

Ludogorets Razgrad Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.67%

12.32%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

61.87%

38.13%

Ajax Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.37%

20.63%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.81%

53.19%

Score Analysis

Ludogorets Razgrad 49.72%

Ajax 29.24%

Draw 21.04%

Ludogorets Razgrad	Draw	Ajax
2-1 @ 8.8% 3-1 @ 6.14% 2-0 @ 5.57% 1-0 @ 5.32% 3-2 @ 4.84% 3-0 @ 3.89% 4-1 @ 3.21% 4-2 @ 2.54% 4-0 @ 2.04% 5-1 @ 1.35% 4-3 @ 1.33% 5-2 @ 1.06% Other @ 3.64% Total : 49.72%	1-1 @ 8.4% 2-2 @ 6.94% 3-3 @ 2.55% 0-0 @ 2.54% Other @ 0.6% Total : 21.04%	1-2 @ 6.63% 0-1 @ 4.01% 2-3 @ 3.65% 1-3 @ 3.49% 0-2 @ 3.17% 0-3 @ 1.67% 2-4 @ 1.44% 1-4 @ 1.38% 3-4 @ 1.01% Other @ 2.8% Total : 29.24%