MX23RW : Monday, March 10 20:26:46| >> :300:86500:86500:
AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Groningen
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NAC Breda
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Willem II
Ajax
Eredivisie | Gameweek 6
Sep 27, 2023 at 1pm UK
Johan Cruijff Arena
Feyenoord

Ajax
0 - 4
Feyenoord


Taylor (41'), Vos (66'), Brobbey (80')
FT(HT: 0-3)
Gimenez (9', 18', 59'), Paixao (37')
Wellenreuther (42'), Gimenez (45+7')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between Ajax and Feyenoord, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Ajax 3-3 Marseille
Thursday, September 21 at 8pm in Europa League
Last Game: Feyenoord 2-0 Celtic
Tuesday, September 19 at 8pm in Champions League

We said: Ajax 1-2 Feyenoord

The tides appear to be shifting in the Eredivisie, particularly after the visitors' clear league win last time around and their far stronger start to the new term, and we fancy Feyenoord to come out on top against their rivals in Amsterdam on Sunday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Feyenoord win with a probability of 42.46%. A win for Ajax had a probability of 36.21% and a draw had a probability of 21.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Feyenoord win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (5.26%) and 2-3 (4.74%). The likeliest Ajax win was 2-1 (7.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.18%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Feyenoord would win this match.

Result
AjaxDrawFeyenoord
36.21% (-1.909 -1.91) 21.33% (-0.145 -0.15) 42.46% (2.048 2.05)
Both teams to score 71.82% (0.29600000000001 0.3)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
72.59% (0.48299999999999 0.48)27.4% (-0.489 -0.49)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
52% (0.607 0.61)47.99% (-0.613 -0.61)
Ajax Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.55% (-0.577 -0.58)16.44% (0.571 0.57)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.87% (-1.045 -1.05)46.12% (1.04 1.04)
Feyenoord Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.95% (0.93599999999999 0.94)14.04% (-0.941 -0.94)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.39% (1.815 1.82)41.61% (-1.82 -1.82)
Score Analysis
    Ajax 36.21%
    Feyenoord 42.46%
    Draw 21.33%
AjaxDrawFeyenoord
2-1 @ 7.39% (-0.261 -0.26)
3-1 @ 4.45% (-0.247 -0.25)
3-2 @ 4.36% (-0.09 -0.09)
1-0 @ 4.17% (-0.209 -0.21)
2-0 @ 3.76% (-0.266 -0.27)
3-0 @ 2.26% (-0.208 -0.21)
4-1 @ 2.01% (-0.153 -0.15)
4-2 @ 1.97% (-0.08 -0.08)
4-3 @ 1.29% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.02% (-0.115 -0.12)
Other @ 3.53%
Total : 36.21%
1-1 @ 8.18% (-0.127 -0.13)
2-2 @ 7.25% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-3 @ 2.86% (0.037 0.04)
0-0 @ 2.31% (-0.069 -0.07)
Other @ 0.73%
Total : 21.33%
1-2 @ 8.03% (0.145 0.15)
1-3 @ 5.26% (0.265 0.27)
2-3 @ 4.74% (0.152 0.15)
0-1 @ 4.53% (0.018 0.02)
0-2 @ 4.45% (0.164 0.16)
0-3 @ 2.91% (0.2 0.2)
1-4 @ 2.58% (0.211 0.21)
2-4 @ 2.33% (0.149 0.15)
0-4 @ 1.43% (0.142 0.14)
3-4 @ 1.4% (0.064 0.06)
1-5 @ 1.01% (0.114 0.11)
2-5 @ 0.91% (0.087 0.09)
Other @ 2.87%
Total : 42.46%

How you voted: Ajax vs Feyenoord

Ajax
31.1%
Draw
13.3%
Feyenoord
55.6%
45
Head to Head
Apr 5, 2023 7pm
Semi-Finals
Feyenoord
1-2
Ajax
Gimenez (45+2')
Tadic (14'), Klaassen (51')
Mar 19, 2023 1.30pm
Gameweek 26
Ajax
2-3
Feyenoord
Alvarez (17'), Tadic (37')
Gimenez (5'), Szymanski (52'), Geertruida (86')
Jan 22, 2023 1.30pm
Gameweek 17
Feyenoord
1-1
Ajax
Paixao (34')
Klaassen (71')
Mar 20, 2022 1.30pm
Gameweek 24
Ajax
3-2
Feyenoord
Haller (24'), Tadic (78'), Antony (86')
Antony (88'), Klaassen (90+5')
Antony (90+3')
Sinisterra (8'), Til (28')
Dec 19, 2021 1.30pm
Gameweek 16
Feyenoord
0-2
Ajax

Linssen (13'), Toornstra (37'), Aursnes (51'), Slot (72'), Nelson (80')
Senesi (44' og.), Tadic (81' pen.)
Gravenberch (15'), Haller (32'), Antony (34')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Ajax25203253183563
2PSV EindhovenPSV25174475304555
3FC UtrechtUtrecht2514744638849
4FC Twente25137550311946
5Feyenoord24128448272144
6AZ AlkmaarAZ24134740241643
7Go Ahead Eagles2512584640641
8Fortuna SittardSittard2595113242-1032
9Heerenveen2586113145-1430
10Groningen2477102333-1028
11NAC BredaNAC Breda2584132743-1628
12Heracles2569103246-1427
13NECNijmegen2575133637-126
14PEC Zwolle2567122940-1125
15Sparta RotterdamSparta2559112434-1024
16Willem II2566132841-1324
17RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk2445153249-1717
18Almere CityAlmere City2535171549-3414


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!