MX23RW : Wednesday, December 18 03:48:43| >> :300:86500:86500:
AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Groningen
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NAC Breda
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Willem II
FC Twente logo
Eredivisie | Gameweek 5
Sep 17, 2023 at 1.30pm UK
De Grolsch Veste
Ajax

FC Twente
3 - 1
Ajax

Rots (7'), Steijn (11'), Unuvar (79')
Sadilek (74')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Brobbey (35')
Bergwijn (13'), Hato (82')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between FC Twente and Ajax, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Volendam 0-2 FC Twente
Sunday, September 3 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Sittard 0-0 Ajax
Sunday, September 3 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie

We said: FC Twente 1-1 Ajax

FC Twente have made a promising start to the season, but the fixture list has been kind to them, coming up against two newly-promoted sides. As such, we do not expect the hosts to make it four wins on the bounce this weekend, but they may be good enough to get a point, given that Ajax have made a slow start to the season. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Twente win with a probability of 41.4%. A win for Ajax had a probability of 36.21% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Twente win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.64%) and 2-0 (5.05%). The likeliest Ajax win was 1-2 (7.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.4%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Twente would win this match.

Result
FC TwenteDrawAjax
41.4% (-0.834 -0.83) 22.38% (-0.311 -0.31) 36.21% (1.149 1.15)
Both teams to score 67.6% (1.482 1.48)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
67.16% (1.828 1.83)32.84% (-1.825 -1.83)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
45.46% (2.077 2.08)54.54% (-2.073 -2.07)
FC Twente Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.35% (0.416 0.42)16.65% (-0.413 -0.41)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.49% (0.737 0.74)46.5% (-0.73399999999999 -0.73)
Ajax Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.11% (1.382 1.38)18.89% (-1.378 -1.38)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.63% (2.253 2.25)50.36% (-2.249 -2.25)
Score Analysis
    FC Twente 41.4%
    Ajax 36.21%
    Draw 22.38%
FC TwenteDrawAjax
2-1 @ 8.42% (-0.207 -0.21)
1-0 @ 5.64% (-0.477 -0.48)
2-0 @ 5.05% (-0.353 -0.35)
3-1 @ 5.03% (-0.053 -0.05)
3-2 @ 4.19% (0.135 0.14)
3-0 @ 3.02% (-0.166 -0.17)
4-1 @ 2.26% (0.0079999999999996 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.88% (0.086 0.09)
4-0 @ 1.35% (-0.055 -0.05)
4-3 @ 1.04% (0.089 0.09)
Other @ 3.51%
Total : 41.4%
1-1 @ 9.4% (-0.365 -0.36)
2-2 @ 7.02% (0.132 0.13)
0-0 @ 3.15% (-0.313 -0.31)
3-3 @ 2.33% (0.17 0.17)
Other @ 0.49%
Total : 22.38%
1-2 @ 7.83% (0.041 0.04)
0-1 @ 5.24% (-0.279 -0.28)
0-2 @ 4.37% (-0.037999999999999 -0.04)
1-3 @ 4.35% (0.206 0.21)
2-3 @ 3.9% (0.236 0.24)
0-3 @ 2.43% (0.083 0.08)
1-4 @ 1.81% (0.159 0.16)
2-4 @ 1.63% (0.163 0.16)
0-4 @ 1.01% (0.076 0.08)
3-4 @ 0.97% (0.109 0.11)
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 36.21%

How you voted: FC Twente vs Ajax

FC Twente
50.0%
Draw
25.0%
Ajax
25.0%
56
Head to Head
May 28, 2023 1.30pm
Gameweek 34
FC Twente
3-1
Ajax
Ugalde (46'), Pleguezuelo (51'), Cerny (75')
Smal (53'), Sadilek (68')
Tadic (31')
Berghuis (85')
Feb 9, 2023 5.45pm
Round of 16
FC Twente
0-1
Ajax
Kudus (70')
Jan 14, 2023 8pm
Feb 13, 2022 3.45pm
Gameweek 20
Ajax
5-0
FC Twente
Klaassen (31'), Haller (53', 85', 88'), Propper (77' og.)
Tadic (41')

Rots (54')
Aug 22, 2021 11.15am
Gameweek 2
FC Twente
1-1
Ajax
Propper (86')
Menig (10')
Haller (51')
Klaassen (17'), Haller (55')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PSV EindhovenPSV16140256134342
2Ajax16113235161936
3FC UtrechtUtrecht1611323223936
4Feyenoord16105140182235
5FC Twente1694332201231
6AZ AlkmaarAZ1692530171329
7Go Ahead Eagles166462826222
8Fortuna SittardSittard166462023-322
9NAC BredaNAC Breda167181825-722
10Heerenveen166371728-1121
11Willem II165471718-119
12NECNijmegen165292220217
13PEC Zwolle164481525-1016
14Groningen164481426-1216
15Heracles163581833-1514
16Sparta RotterdamSparta162681424-1012
17RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk1613121740-236
18Almere CityAlmere City161312737-306


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!