Eredivisie | Gameweek 5
Sep 17, 2023 at 1.30pm UK
De Grolsch Veste
FC Twente3 - 1Ajax
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Volendam 0-2 FC Twente
Sunday, September 3 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie
Sunday, September 3 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Sittard 0-0 Ajax
Sunday, September 3 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie
Sunday, September 3 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie
We said: FC Twente 1-1 Ajax
FC Twente have made a promising start to the season, but the fixture list has been kind to them, coming up against two newly-promoted sides. As such, we do not expect the hosts to make it four wins on the bounce this weekend, but they may be good enough to get a point, given that Ajax have made a slow start to the season. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Twente win with a probability of 41.4%. A win for Ajax had a probability of 36.21% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Twente win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.64%) and 2-0 (5.05%). The likeliest Ajax win was 1-2 (7.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.4%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Twente would win this match.
| Result | ||
| FC Twente | Draw | Ajax |
41.4% ( -0.83) | 22.38% ( -0.31) | 36.21% ( 1.15) |
| Both teams to score 67.6% ( 1.48) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
