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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Feyenoord win with a probability of 51.22%. A win for AZ Alkmaar had a probability of 25.2% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Feyenoord win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.57%) and 2-0 (8.36%). The likeliest AZ Alkmaar win was 1-2 (6.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.06%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Feyenoord would win this match.
Result | ||
Feyenoord | Draw | AZ Alkmaar |
51.22% ( 0.01) | 23.57% ( -0) | 25.2% ( -0) |
Both teams to score 56.63% ( 0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.53% ( 0) | 44.46% ( -0) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.16% ( 0) | 66.83% ( -0) |
Feyenoord Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.59% ( 0) | 17.4% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.17% ( 0.01) | 47.83% ( -0.01) |
AZ Alkmaar Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.56% ( 0) | 31.44% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.18% ( 0) | 67.81% |
Score Analysis |
Feyenoord | Draw | AZ Alkmaar |
2-1 @ 9.68% 1-0 @ 9.57% ( -0) 2-0 @ 8.36% ( 0) 3-1 @ 5.64% ( 0) 3-0 @ 4.88% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.26% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.47% ( 0) 4-0 @ 2.13% 4-2 @ 1.43% ( 0) Other @ 3.81% Total : 51.22% | 1-1 @ 11.06% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.6% ( 0) 0-0 @ 5.47% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.26% Other @ 0.17% Total : 23.56% | 1-2 @ 6.4% ( -0) 0-1 @ 6.33% ( -0) 0-2 @ 3.66% 1-3 @ 2.47% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.16% 0-3 @ 1.41% Other @ 2.76% Total : 25.2% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 16 | 14 | 0 | 2 | 56 | 13 | 43 | 42 |
2 | Ajax | 16 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 35 | 16 | 19 | 36 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 16 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 32 | 23 | 9 | 36 |
4 | Feyenoord | 16 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 40 | 18 | 22 | 35 |
5 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 17 | 10 | 2 | 5 | 31 | 17 | 14 | 32 |
6 | FC Twente | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 32 | 21 | 11 | 31 |
7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 30 | 27 | 3 | 25 |
8 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 20 | 23 | -3 | 22 |
9 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 17 | 7 | 1 | 9 | 19 | 27 | -8 | 22 |
10 | Heerenveen | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 17 | 31 | -14 | 21 |
11 | Willem II | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 18 | -1 | 19 |
12 | NECNijmegen | 16 | 5 | 2 | 9 | 22 | 20 | 2 | 17 |
13 | PEC Zwolle | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 16 | 26 | -10 | 17 |
14 | Groningen | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 16 |
15 | Heracles | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 33 | -15 | 14 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 16 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 24 | -10 | 12 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 17 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 37 | -27 | 9 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 17 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 18 | 41 | -23 | 7 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |