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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 51.52%. A win for Fortuna Sittard had a probability of 24.37% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.66%) and 0-2 (8.91%). The likeliest Fortuna Sittard win was 1-0 (6.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Fortuna Sittard | Draw | AZ Alkmaar |
24.37% ( 0.04) | 24.12% ( -0.05) | 51.52% ( 0.01) |
Both teams to score 53.95% ( 0.19) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.4% ( 0.23) | 47.6% ( -0.23) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.2% ( 0.21) | 69.8% ( -0.21) |
Fortuna Sittard Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.17% ( 0.16) | 33.83% ( -0.16) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.51% ( 0.17) | 70.49% ( -0.17) |
AZ Alkmaar Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.53% ( 0.09) | 18.47% ( -0.09) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.33% ( 0.16) | 49.67% ( -0.15) |
Score Analysis |
Fortuna Sittard | Draw | AZ Alkmaar |
1-0 @ 6.77% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 6.2% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 3.67% ( -0) 3-1 @ 2.24% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.89% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 1.33% ( 0) Other @ 2.27% Total : 24.37% | 1-1 @ 11.43% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 6.25% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 5.24% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 1.07% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.13% Total : 24.11% | 0-1 @ 10.55% ( -0.07) 1-2 @ 9.66% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 8.91% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 5.44% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 5.02% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.95% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 2.3% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 2.12% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1.24% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.33% Total : 51.51% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 16 | 14 | 0 | 2 | 56 | 13 | 43 | 42 |
2 | Ajax | 16 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 35 | 16 | 19 | 36 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 16 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 32 | 23 | 9 | 36 |
4 | Feyenoord | 16 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 40 | 18 | 22 | 35 |
5 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 17 | 10 | 2 | 5 | 31 | 17 | 14 | 32 |
6 | FC Twente | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 32 | 21 | 11 | 31 |
7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 30 | 27 | 3 | 25 |
8 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 20 | 23 | -3 | 22 |
9 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 17 | 7 | 1 | 9 | 19 | 27 | -8 | 22 |
10 | Heerenveen | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 17 | 31 | -14 | 21 |
11 | Willem II | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 18 | -1 | 19 |
12 | NECNijmegen | 16 | 5 | 2 | 9 | 22 | 20 | 2 | 17 |
13 | PEC Zwolle | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 16 | 26 | -10 | 17 |
14 | Groningen | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 16 |
15 | Heracles | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 33 | -15 | 14 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 16 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 24 | -10 | 12 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 17 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 37 | -27 | 9 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 17 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 18 | 41 | -23 | 7 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |