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Turkish Super Lig | Gameweek 9
Oct 20, 2024 at 5pm UK
Stadyum Samsun

Samsunspor
2 - 2
Fenerbahce

Holse (48'), Aydogdu (88')
Reis (10'), Satka (13'), Becao (52'), Kilinc (55'), Bola (57'), Djiku (90+5'), Mouandilmadji (90+5')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Tadic (24'), Saint-Maximin (62')
Kostic (9'), Ntcham (14'), Fred (40'), Ait Bennasser (76'), Kahveci (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Turkish Super Lig clash between Samsunspor and Fenerbahce, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Adana Demirspor 1-3 Samsunspor
Sunday, October 6 at 2pm in Turkish Super Lig

We said: Samsunspor 1-1 Fenerbahce

Both teams are entering this game with a point to prove, while also hoping to avoid a wider points gap between them and the league leaders. With this in mind, both teams might adopt a cautious approach, and this is why we are predicting that the game will end in a draw, though we expect goals. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fenerbahce win with a probability of 55.34%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Samsunspor had a probability of 20.37%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fenerbahce win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.59%) and 1-2 (9.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.51%), while for a Samsunspor win it was 1-0 (6.9%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
SamsunsporDrawFenerbahce
20.37% (0.529 0.53) 24.28% (0.052 0.05) 55.34% (-0.583 -0.58)
Both teams to score 48.4% (0.623 0.62)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.57% (0.421 0.42)52.43% (-0.424 -0.42)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.89% (0.36 0.36)74.11% (-0.363 -0.36)
Samsunspor Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.63% (0.813 0.81)40.36% (-0.816 -0.82)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.02% (0.729 0.73)76.98% (-0.733 -0.73)
Fenerbahce Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.16% (-0.063999999999993 -0.06)18.84% (0.061 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.72% (-0.105 -0.11)50.28% (0.102 0.1)
Score Analysis
    Samsunspor 20.37%
    Fenerbahce 55.34%
    Draw 24.28%
SamsunsporDrawFenerbahce
1-0 @ 6.9% (0.038 0.04)
2-1 @ 5.22% (0.134 0.13)
2-0 @ 3.13% (0.086 0.09)
3-1 @ 1.58% (0.075 0.08)
3-2 @ 1.32% (0.06 0.06)
3-0 @ 0.95% (0.046 0.05)
Other @ 1.28%
Total : 20.37%
1-1 @ 11.51% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
0-0 @ 7.6% (-0.129 -0.13)
2-2 @ 4.36% (0.103 0.1)
Other @ 0.81%
Total : 24.28%
0-1 @ 12.69% (-0.24 -0.24)
0-2 @ 10.59% (-0.22 -0.22)
1-2 @ 9.61% (0.016 0.02)
0-3 @ 5.9% (-0.135 -0.14)
1-3 @ 5.35% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-4 @ 2.46% (-0.061 -0.06)
2-3 @ 2.43% (0.053 0.05)
1-4 @ 2.23% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-4 @ 1.01% (0.02 0.02)
Other @ 3.07%
Total : 55.34%

How you voted: Samsunspor vs Fenerbahce

Samsunspor
11.8%
Draw
17.6%
Fenerbahce
70.6%
34
Head to Head
Jan 21, 2024 1pm
Gameweek 21
Fenerbahce
1-1
Samsunspor
Kahveci (12')
Muldur (52')
Kilinc (62')
Mouandilmadji (20'), Kocuk (84'), Holse (90+5')
Aug 21, 2023 7pm
Gameweek 2
Samsunspor
0-2
Fenerbahce

van Drongelen (90+7')
Dzeko (62'), Szymanski (90+8')
Muldur (90+7')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1GalatasarayGalatasaray19163052223051
2Fenerbahce19143249183145
3Samsunspor19114432181437
4Goztepe SKGoztepe SK19104538231534
5EyupsporEyupspor1996432191333
6BesiktasBesiktas198742820831
7Istanbul BasaksehirIstanbul198563125629
8GaziantepGaziantep197572526-126
9TrabzonsporTrabzonspor1967634241025
10Caykur RizesporCaykur Rizespor197391929-1024
11AlanyasporAlanyaspor195771924-522
12KasimpasaKasimpasa1941052733-622
13KonyasporKonyaspor195682431-721
14AntalyasporAntalyaspor1963102138-1721
15SivassporSivasspor195592132-1120
16Bodrumspor1944111425-1116
17KayserisporKayserispor183781734-1716
18Hatayspor1917111732-1510
19Adana Demirspor1922151542-275


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