MX23RW : Tuesday, December 24 15:36:10| >> :300:86500:86500:
AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Groningen
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NAC Breda
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Willem II
AZ Alkmaar
Eredivisie | Gameweek 9
Oct 19, 2024 at 5.45pm UK
AFAS Stadion
PSV

AZ
1 - 2
PSV

Kasius (90')
Moller Wolfe (10')
FT(HT: 0-2)
de Jong (15'), Lang (22')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Eredivisie clash between AZ Alkmaar and PSV Eindhoven, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sittard 1-0 AZ
Sunday, October 6 at 7pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: PSV 2-1 Sparta
Saturday, October 5 at 7pm in Eredivisie

We said: AZ Alkmaar 1-3 PSV Eindhoven

After a blistering start to the campaign, AZ Alkmaar have suffered a drop-off in form in recent weeks and now face the stern challenge of taking on a high-flying PSV side who boast a 100% record in the league. While we expect AZ to pose a stern challenge in front of their home supporters, we are backing Bosz's men to continue from where they left off before the international break and make it nine wins from nine. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 44.04%. A win for AZ Alkmaar had a probability of 33.54% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.04%) and 0-2 (5.54%). The likeliest AZ Alkmaar win was 2-1 (7.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.54%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for PSV Eindhoven in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for PSV Eindhoven.

Result
AZ AlkmaarDrawPSV Eindhoven
33.54% (-4.48 -4.48) 22.42% (-0.459 -0.46) 44.04% (4.936 4.94)
Both teams to score 66.7% (0.855 0.86)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.27% (1.476 1.48)33.73% (-1.481 -1.48)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
44.44% (1.662 1.66)55.56% (-1.667 -1.67)
AZ Alkmaar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.39% (-1.509 -1.51)20.6% (1.504 1.5)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.85% (-2.436 -2.44)53.15% (2.431 2.43)
PSV Eindhoven Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84% (2.62 2.62)15.99% (-2.624 -2.62)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.69% (4.599 4.6)45.31% (-4.604 -4.6)
Score Analysis
    AZ Alkmaar 33.54%
    PSV Eindhoven 44.04%
    Draw 22.42%
AZ AlkmaarDrawPSV Eindhoven
2-1 @ 7.54% (-0.655 -0.66)
1-0 @ 5.21% (-0.681 -0.68)
2-0 @ 4.11% (-0.761 -0.76)
3-1 @ 3.97% (-0.552 -0.55)
3-2 @ 3.64% (-0.163 -0.16)
3-0 @ 2.17% (-0.524 -0.52)
4-1 @ 1.57% (-0.304 -0.3)
4-2 @ 1.44% (-0.137 -0.14)
Other @ 3.92%
Total : 33.54%
1-1 @ 9.54% (-0.354 -0.35)
2-2 @ 6.91% (0.022 0.02)
0-0 @ 3.3% (-0.26 -0.26)
3-3 @ 2.22% (0.094 0.09)
Other @ 0.45%
Total : 22.42%
1-2 @ 8.75% (0.427 0.43)
0-1 @ 6.04% (0.063 0.06)
0-2 @ 5.54% (0.512 0.51)
1-3 @ 5.34% (0.681 0.68)
2-3 @ 4.22% (0.362 0.36)
0-3 @ 3.38% (0.567 0.57)
1-4 @ 2.45% (0.49 0.49)
2-4 @ 1.93% (0.312 0.31)
0-4 @ 1.55% (0.367 0.37)
3-4 @ 1.02% (0.124 0.12)
Other @ 3.82%
Total : 44.04%

How you voted: AZ vs PSV

AZ Alkmaar
6.8%
Draw
6.8%
PSV Eindhoven
86.4%
59
Head to Head
Apr 6, 2024 5.45pm
Gameweek 29
PSV
5-1
AZ
Bakayoko (9'), De Jong (23', 53'), Veerman (80'), Uneken (90+1')
Teze (25'), Boscagli (45')
Pavlidis (58')
Belic (13'), Mijnans (73')
Dec 17, 2023 7pm
Gameweek 16
AZ
0-4
PSV

van Bommel (45+1'), Goudmijn (77')
De Jong (9' pen., 57'), Saibari (11'), Dest (16')
May 28, 2023 1.30pm
Gameweek 34
AZ
1-2
PSV
Karlsson (84' pen.)
Karlsson (35'), Clasie (57')
Simons (65', 90+8')
El Ghazi (35'), Benitez (79'), Veerman (90+3'), Simons (90+8')
El Ghazi (90+2')
Nov 12, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 14
PSV
0-1
AZ
Pavlidis (18')
Feb 5, 2022 7pm
Gameweek 19
PSV
1-2
AZ
Obispo (19')
Sangare (72'), Teze (74'), Gotze (90+1')
Martins Indi (40'), Karlsson (75')
Midtsjo (70'), Wijndal (72'), Hatzidiakos (72'), Sugawara (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PSV EindhovenPSV17150259134645
2Ajax17123237162139
3FC UtrechtUtrecht1711333428636
4Feyenoord17105240211935
5AZ AlkmaarAZ17102531171432
6FC Twente1794432211131
7Go Ahead Eagles177463027325
8Fortuna SittardSittard177462525025
9Willem II176472119222
10NAC BredaNAC Breda177191927-822
11Heerenveen176381731-1421
12NECNijmegen1752102324-117
13PEC Zwolle174581626-1017
14Groningen164481426-1216
15Heracles163581833-1514
16Sparta RotterdamSparta172691426-1212
17Almere CityAlmere City1723121037-279
18RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk1714121841-237


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