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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 44.04%. A win for AZ Alkmaar had a probability of 33.54% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.04%) and 0-2 (5.54%). The likeliest AZ Alkmaar win was 2-1 (7.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.54%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for PSV Eindhoven in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for PSV Eindhoven.
Result | ||
AZ Alkmaar | Draw | PSV Eindhoven |
33.54% ( -4.48) | 22.42% ( -0.46) | 44.04% ( 4.94) |
Both teams to score 66.7% ( 0.86) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
66.27% ( 1.48) | 33.73% ( -1.48) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
44.44% ( 1.66) | 55.56% ( -1.67) |
AZ Alkmaar Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.39% ( -1.51) | 20.6% ( 1.5) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.85% ( -2.44) | 53.15% ( 2.43) |
PSV Eindhoven Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84% ( 2.62) | 15.99% ( -2.62) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
54.69% ( 4.6) | 45.31% ( -4.6) |
Score Analysis |
AZ Alkmaar | Draw | PSV Eindhoven |
2-1 @ 7.54% ( -0.66) 1-0 @ 5.21% ( -0.68) 2-0 @ 4.11% ( -0.76) 3-1 @ 3.97% ( -0.55) 3-2 @ 3.64% ( -0.16) 3-0 @ 2.17% ( -0.52) 4-1 @ 1.57% ( -0.3) 4-2 @ 1.44% ( -0.14) Other @ 3.92% Total : 33.54% | 1-1 @ 9.54% ( -0.35) 2-2 @ 6.91% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 3.3% ( -0.26) 3-3 @ 2.22% ( 0.09) Other @ 0.45% Total : 22.42% | 1-2 @ 8.75% ( 0.43) 0-1 @ 6.04% ( 0.06) 0-2 @ 5.54% ( 0.51) 1-3 @ 5.34% ( 0.68) 2-3 @ 4.22% ( 0.36) 0-3 @ 3.38% ( 0.57) 1-4 @ 2.45% ( 0.49) 2-4 @ 1.93% ( 0.31) 0-4 @ 1.55% ( 0.37) 3-4 @ 1.02% ( 0.12) Other @ 3.82% Total : 44.04% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 17 | 15 | 0 | 2 | 59 | 13 | 46 | 45 |
2 | Ajax | 17 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 37 | 16 | 21 | 39 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 17 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 34 | 28 | 6 | 36 |
4 | Feyenoord | 17 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 40 | 21 | 19 | 35 |
5 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 17 | 10 | 2 | 5 | 31 | 17 | 14 | 32 |
6 | FC Twente | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 32 | 21 | 11 | 31 |
7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 30 | 27 | 3 | 25 |
8 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 25 | 25 | 0 | 25 |
9 | Willem II | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 21 | 19 | 2 | 22 |
10 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 17 | 7 | 1 | 9 | 19 | 27 | -8 | 22 |
11 | Heerenveen | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 17 | 31 | -14 | 21 |
12 | NECNijmegen | 17 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 23 | 24 | -1 | 17 |
13 | PEC Zwolle | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 16 | 26 | -10 | 17 |
14 | Groningen | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 16 |
15 | Heracles | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 33 | -15 | 14 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 17 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 12 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 17 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 37 | -27 | 9 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 17 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 18 | 41 | -23 | 7 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |