Europa League | Group Stage
Dec 3, 2020 at 8pm UK
Estádio da Luz
Benfica4 - 0Lech Poznan
FT(HT: 1-0)
Katcharava (2'), Marchwinski (72')
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 44.91%. A win for Lech Poznan had a probability of 33.81% and a draw had a probability of 21.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.56%) and 3-2 (4.81%). The likeliest Lech Poznan win was 1-2 (7.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.25%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Benfica would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Benfica | Draw | Lech Poznan |
| 44.91% | 21.28% | 33.81% |
| Both teams to score 71.27% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
