Lech Poznan

2 - 4

Benfica

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 61.32%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Lech Poznan had a probability of 16.28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 0-1 with a probability of 13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.87%) and 1-2 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.61%), while for a Lech Poznan win it was 1-0 (5.81%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Benfica would win this match.