Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CSKA Moscow win with a probability of 40.85%. A win for Wolfsberger had a probability of 36.5% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a CSKA Moscow win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.89%) and 2-0 (5.15%). The likeliest Wolfsberger win was 1-2 (7.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.68%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.
