Europa League | Group Stage
Oct 6, 2022 at 8pm UK
Mage-Solar-Stadion
Freiburg2 - 0Nantes
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Freiburg 2-1 Mainz 05
Saturday, October 1 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Saturday, October 1 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Monaco 4-1 Nantes
Sunday, October 2 at 4.05pm in Ligue 1
Sunday, October 2 at 4.05pm in Ligue 1
We said: Freiburg 2-1 Nantes
Even if they do make a few changes to their starting XI, we expect Freiburg to get the job done on Thursday. In stark contrast to their forthcoming opponents, Nantes have suffered a poor start to the season, even if we do expect them to keep things fairly tight during the match. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Freiburg win with a probability of 50.56%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Nantes had a probability of 24.48%.
The most likely scoreline for a Freiburg win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.5%) and 2-0 (9.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.87%), while for a Nantes win it was 0-1 (7.42%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Freiburg would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Freiburg | Draw | Nantes |
50.56% ( -0) | 24.96% ( -0.02) | 24.48% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 51.43% ( 0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.02% ( 0.09) | 50.97% ( -0.09) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.15% ( 0.08) | 72.84% ( -0.08) |
| Freiburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.83% ( 0.03) | 20.17% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 47.54% ( 0.05) | 52.46% ( -0.05) |
| Nantes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.43% ( 0.07) | 35.57% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 27.66% ( 0.07) | 72.33% ( -0.07) |
| Score Analysis |
Freiburg 50.55%
Nantes 24.48%
Draw 24.96%
| Freiburg | Draw | Nantes |
| 1-0 @ 11.48% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 9.5% ( 0)2-0 @ 9.19% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 5.07% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 4.91% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.62% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 2.03% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.96% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.05% ( 0)Other @ 2.73% Total : 50.55% | 1-1 @ 11.87% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.17% ( -0.03)2-2 @ 4.91% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 0.9% ( 0)Other @ 0.1% Total : 24.96% | 0-1 @ 7.42% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 6.14% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 3.83% ( 0)1-3 @ 2.12% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.69% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.32% ( 0)Other @ 1.97% Total : 24.48% |
How you voted: Freiburg vs Nantes
Freiburg
85.3%Draw
9.6%Nantes
5.1%136
