Europa League

Europa League | Group Stage

Oct 6, 2022 at 8pm UK

Mage-Solar-Stadion

Freiburg
2 - 0
Nantes

Kyereh (48'), Grifo (72')
Sildillia (66'), Gunter (78'), Keitel (90')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Mohamed (66')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Freiburg and Nantes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Freiburg

All competitions

Europa League

Last Game: Freiburg 2-1 Mainz 05
Saturday, October 1 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Nantes

All competitions

Europa League

Last Game: Monaco 4-1 Nantes
Sunday, October 2 at 4.05pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

Even if they do make a few changes to their starting XI, we expect Freiburg to get the job done on Thursday. In stark contrast to their forthcoming opponents, Nantes have suffered a poor start to the season, even if we do expect them to keep things fairly tight during the match. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Freiburg win with a probability of 50.56%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Nantes had a probability of 24.48%.

The most likely scoreline for a Freiburg win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.5%) and 2-0 (9.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.87%), while for a Nantes win it was 0-1 (7.42%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Freiburg would win this match.

Result
Freiburg	Draw	Nantes
50.56% ( -0)	24.96% ( -0.02)	24.48% ( 0.02)

Both teams to score 51.43% (

0.07)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.02% (

0.09)

50.97% (

-0.09)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.15% (

0.08)

72.84% (

-0.08)

Freiburg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.83% (

0.03)

20.17% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.54% (

0.05)

52.46% (

-0.05)

Nantes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.43% (

0.07)

35.57% (

-0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.66% (

0.07)

72.33% (

-0.07)

Score Analysis

Freiburg 50.55%

Nantes 24.48%

Draw 24.96%

Freiburg	Draw	Nantes
1-0 @ 11.48% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 9.5% ( 0) 2-0 @ 9.19% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 5.07% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 4.91% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.62% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.03% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.96% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.05% ( 0) Other @ 2.73% Total : 50.55%	1-1 @ 11.87% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.17% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 4.91% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 0.9% ( 0) Other @ 0.1% Total : 24.96%	0-1 @ 7.42% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 6.14% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 3.83% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.12% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.69% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.32% ( 0) Other @ 1.97% Total : 24.48%