MX23RW : Thursday, April 3 19:51:20| >> :600:270878:270878:
Qarabag
Europa League | Group Stage
Sep 15, 2022 at 5.45pm UK
Tofiq Bəhramov adına Respublika stadionu
Nantes

Qarabag FK
3 - 0
Nantes

Kwabena (60'), Richard (65'), Jankovic (72')
Cafarquliyev (88')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Girotto (80')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Qarabag FK and Nantes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

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Last Game: Freiburg 2-1 Qarabag FK
Thursday, September 8 at 8pm in Europa League
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Last Game: Lorient 3-2 Nantes
Sunday, September 11 at 2pm in Ligue 1

We said: Qarabag FK 1-1 Nantes

Nantes may be content to come away with Azerbaijan unscathed having already gained a win against Olympiacos last week. Qarabag are tough to beat on home soil, but likewise can find it tough to break teams down at this level, so may not be too disappointed with a share of the spoils either. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nantes win with a probability of 49.26%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for Qarabag FK had a probability of 24.96%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nantes win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.29%) and 0-2 (9.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.23%), while for a Qarabag FK win it was 1-0 (8.05%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood.

Result
Qarabag FKDrawNantes
24.96% (0.053999999999998 0.05) 25.78% (-0.022000000000002 -0.02) 49.26% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
Both teams to score 49.44% (0.11499999999999 0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.18% (0.125 0.13)53.82% (-0.123 -0.12)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.71% (0.104 0.1)75.29% (-0.10199999999999 -0.1)
Qarabag FK Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.29% (0.116 0.12)36.71% (-0.113 -0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.5% (0.116 0.12)73.5% (-0.114 -0.11)
Nantes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.13% (0.040000000000006 0.04)21.87% (-0.038999999999998 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.88% (0.059000000000005 0.06)55.12% (-0.055999999999997 -0.06)
Score Analysis
    Qarabag FK 24.96%
    Nantes 49.25%
    Draw 25.79%
Qarabag FKDrawNantes
1-0 @ 8.05% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
2-1 @ 6.13% (0.016 0.02)
2-0 @ 4.03% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-1 @ 2.05% (0.012 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.56% (0.01 0.01)
3-0 @ 1.35% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 1.8%
Total : 24.96%
1-1 @ 12.23%
0-0 @ 8.03% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
2-2 @ 4.66% (0.017 0.02)
Other @ 0.87%
Total : 25.79%
0-1 @ 12.2% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
1-2 @ 9.29% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
0-2 @ 9.28% (-0.023999999999999 -0.02)
1-3 @ 4.71% (0.008 0.01)
0-3 @ 4.7% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.36% (0.011 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.79% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-4 @ 1.79%
Other @ 3.14%
Total : 49.25%

How you voted: Qarabag FK vs Nantes

Qarabag FK
37.9%
Draw
24.2%
Nantes
37.9%
153
rhs 2.0
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