MX23RW : Sunday, September 29 17:21:40| >> :600:199962:199962:
Olympiacos
Europa League | Group Stage
Sep 15, 2022 at 5.45pm UK
Stadio Georgios Karaiskáki
Freiburg logo

Olympiacos
0 - 3
Freiburg


Rodrigues (77')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Hofler (5'), Gregoritsch (25', 53')
Lienhart (61'), Hofler (80')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Olympiacos and Freiburg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Olympiacos 1-1 Volos
Sunday, September 11 at 4.30pm in Greek Superleague

We said: Olympiacos 1-1 Freiburg

With Corberan needing to avoid defeat after a slow start to his time in Greece and Freiburg likely to rest a few key players, we can envisage both teams settling for a point on Thursday. There is little doubt the visitors come into this match in better form but they lack experience in terms of juggling two competitions and would likely consider a draw away from home to be a positive outcome, especially considering their victory last week. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Olympiacos win with a probability of 47.26%. A win for Freiburg had a probability of 28.86% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Olympiacos win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.73%) and 2-0 (7.38%). The likeliest Freiburg win was 1-2 (7.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.1%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood.

Result
OlympiacosDrawFreiburg
47.26% (0.114 0.11) 23.89% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02) 28.86% (-0.088000000000001 -0.09)
Both teams to score 58.73% (0.011000000000003 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.87% (0.040999999999997 0.04)43.13% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.47% (0.040999999999997 0.04)65.53% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03)
Olympiacos Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.58% (0.063999999999993 0.06)18.42% (-0.058 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.42% (0.105 0.1)49.59% (-0.098999999999997 -0.1)
Freiburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.99% (-0.040000000000006 -0.04)28.02% (0.047000000000001 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.34% (-0.053000000000004 -0.05)63.66% (0.058999999999997 0.06)
Score Analysis
    Olympiacos 47.26%
    Freiburg 28.86%
    Draw 23.88%
OlympiacosDrawFreiburg
2-1 @ 9.4% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
1-0 @ 8.73% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-0 @ 7.38% (0.016 0.02)
3-1 @ 5.3% (0.015 0.01)
3-0 @ 4.16% (0.016 0.02)
3-2 @ 3.37% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.24% (0.01 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.76% (0.011 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.43% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 3.49%
Total : 47.26%
1-1 @ 11.1% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.98% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
0-0 @ 5.16% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.43% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 23.88%
1-2 @ 7.07% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
0-1 @ 6.57% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
0-2 @ 4.18% (-0.016 -0.02)
1-3 @ 3% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.54% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 1.77% (-0.01 -0.01)
1-4 @ 0.95% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 28.86%

How you voted: Olympiacos vs Freiburg

Olympiacos
35.0%
Draw
22.0%
Freiburg
43.0%
200
rhs 2.0
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