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Europa League
Europa League | Second Qualifying Round | 2nd Leg
Aug 1, 2024 at 7pm UK
Stadion HNK Rijeka

Rijeka
1 - 0
Corvinul Hunedoara

Petrovic (12')
Posavec (74'), Pasalic (75'), Galesic (78')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Bus (49'), Manolache (90+1'), Daniel Lefter (90+7')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between HNK Rijeka and Corvinul Hunedoara, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

HNK Rijeka

All competitions
Europa League
Last Game: Corvinul Hunedoara 0-0 Rijeka
Thursday, July 25 at 6pm in Europa League

Corvinul Hunedoara

All competitions
Last Game: Corvinul Hunedoara 0-0 Rijeka
Thursday, July 25 at 6pm in Europa League
TeamGoals scoredAvg per gameTop scorer
1Dinamo Zagreb0nan
2Gorica0nan
3Rijeka0nan
4Hajduk Split0nan
5Istra 19610nan
6NK Lokomotiva0nan
7Varazdin0nan
8Osijek0nan
9Sibenik0nan
10Slaven Koprivnica0nan

We said: HNK Rijeka 1-0 Corvinul Hunedoara (HNK Rijeka win 1-0 on aggregate)

 Despite being a second-tier team in Romania, Corvinul have already proven themselves a tough nut to crack since returning to European competition after a four-decade break. Nevertheless, Rijeka's quality should shine through in the second leg, following a rare failure to score on their competitive debut for 2024-25. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a HNK Rijeka win with a probability of 62.99%. A draw had a probability of 19.9% and a win for Corvinul Hunedoara had a probability of 17.13%.

The most likely scoreline for a HNK Rijeka win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.59%) and 1-0 (8.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.18%), while for a Corvinul Hunedoara win it was 1-2 (4.74%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-0 win for HNK Rijeka in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for HNK Rijeka.

Result
HNK RijekaDrawCorvinul Hunedoara
62.99% (0.085000000000001 0.09) 19.87% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03) 17.13% (-0.061 -0.06)
Both teams to score 56.92% (-0.035000000000004 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.74% (0.017000000000003 0.02)38.25% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.47% (0.017000000000003 0.02)60.53% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
HNK Rijeka Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.41% (0.027999999999992 0.03)11.59% (-0.031000000000001 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.43% (0.061 0.06)36.56% (-0.064 -0.06)
Corvinul Hunedoara Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.37% (-0.061000000000007 -0.06)35.62% (0.058999999999997 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.61% (-0.062999999999999 -0.06)72.39% (0.058999999999997 0.06)
Score Analysis
    HNK Rijeka 62.99%
    Corvinul Hunedoara 17.13%
    Draw 19.87%
HNK RijekaDrawCorvinul Hunedoara
2-1 @ 9.9% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
2-0 @ 9.59% (0.014000000000001 0.01)
1-0 @ 8.9% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-1 @ 7.11% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-0 @ 6.89% (0.018 0.02)
4-1 @ 3.83% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
4-0 @ 3.71% (0.014 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.67% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-2 @ 1.98% (0.0010000000000001 0)
5-1 @ 1.65% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
5-0 @ 1.6% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 4.18%
Total : 62.99%
1-1 @ 9.18% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.11% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
0-0 @ 4.13% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
3-3 @ 1.26% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 19.87%
1-2 @ 4.74% (-0.014 -0.01)
0-1 @ 4.26% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-2 @ 2.2% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.76% (-0.006 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.63% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 17.13%

How you voted: Rijeka vs Corvinul Hunedoara

HNK Rijeka
74.2%
Draw
9.7%
Corvinul Hunedoara
16.1%
31
Head to Head
Jul 25, 2024 6pm
Second Qualifying Round 1st Leg
Corvinul Hunedoara
0-0
Rijeka
Bus (16'), Stefan Lica (76'), Lucian Hrezdac (88')
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