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Europa League
Lazio logo
Europa League | Group Stage
Oct 27, 2022 at 5.45pm UK
Stadio Olimpico
Midtjylland

Lazio
2 - 1
Midtjylland

Milinkovic-Savic (36'), Pedro (58')
Romagnoli (15'), Gila (69'), Vecino (88')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Isaksen (8')
Andersson (43'), Juninho (90'), Sviatchenko (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Lazio and FC Midtjylland, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lazio

All competitions
Europa League
Last Game: Atalanta 0-2 Lazio
Sunday, October 23 at 5pm in Serie A

FC Midtjylland

All competitions
Europa League
Last Game: Copenhagen 1-1 Midtjylland
Saturday, October 22 at 3pm in Danish Superliga

We said: Lazio 2-1 FC Midtjylland

 As well as flying high domestically, Lazio are generally a formidable force at home in the Europa League - though four of their last six continental clashes in Rome have finished level. Due to Sarri's squad rotation, it may be a close-run contest to begin with, but the Aquile should ultimately soar past the Wolves. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lazio win with a probability of 46.18%. A draw had a probability of 29.7% and a win for FC Midtjylland had a probability of 24.15%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lazio win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.92%) and 2-1 (7.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.21%), while for a FC Midtjylland win it was 0-1 (10.55%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Lazio in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Lazio.

Result
LazioDrawFC Midtjylland
46.18% (0.188 0.19) 29.67% (-0.041 -0.04) 24.15% (-0.149 -0.15)
Both teams to score 38.86% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
32.99% (0.030999999999999 0.03)67.01% (-0.031000000000006 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
14.73% (0.020999999999999 0.02)85.27% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Lazio Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.63% (0.117 0.12)29.37% (-0.117 -0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.65% (0.141 0.14)65.35% (-0.142 -0.14)
FC Midtjylland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.01% (-0.125 -0.13)44.99% (0.126 0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.08% (-0.103 -0.1)80.92% (0.102 0.1)
Score Analysis
    Lazio 46.17%
    FC Midtjylland 24.15%
    Draw 29.67%
LazioDrawFC Midtjylland
1-0 @ 16.18% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
2-0 @ 9.92% (0.052 0.05)
2-1 @ 7.92% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
3-0 @ 4.05% (0.035 0.04)
3-1 @ 3.24% (0.017 0.02)
3-2 @ 1.29% (0.002 0)
4-0 @ 1.24% (0.015 0.02)
4-1 @ 0.99% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 1.34%
Total : 46.17%
0-0 @ 13.21% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-1 @ 12.93% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 3.16% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
Other @ 0.37%
Total : 29.67%
0-1 @ 10.55% (-0.049999999999999 -0.05)
1-2 @ 5.17% (-0.025 -0.03)
0-2 @ 4.22% (-0.035 -0.04)
1-3 @ 1.38% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.12% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 1.72%
Total : 24.15%

How you voted: Lazio vs Midtjylland

Lazio
74.5%
Draw
13.5%
FC Midtjylland
12.1%
282
Head to Head
Sep 15, 2022 5.45pm
Group F
Midtjylland
5-1
Lazio
Paulinho (26'), Kaba (30'), Evander (52' pen.), Isaksen (67'), Sviatchenko (72')
Paulinho (55')
Milinkovic-Savic (57')
rhs 2.0
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