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Serie A | Gameweek 11
Oct 23, 2022 at 5pm UK
Gewiss Stadium
Lazio logo

Atalanta
0 - 2
Lazio


Okoli (12'), Soppy (45+1'), Muriel (59')
Muriel (90')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Zaccagni (10'), Anderson (52')
Cataldi (70'), Milinkovic-Savic (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Atalanta BC and Lazio, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Atalanta 2-1 Sassuolo
Saturday, October 15 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Lazio 0-0 Udinese
Sunday, October 16 at 2pm in Serie A

We said: Atalanta BC 1-1 Lazio

A third straight draw between these sides seems the likeliest outcome, as neither gives much away at the back and they are well-matched in other areas. A fascinating tactical battle between 'Gasp' and Sarri is set to ensue, and fine details could determine the result. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 49.77%. A win for Lazio had a probability of 26.43% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.39%) and 2-0 (8.07%). The likeliest Lazio win was 1-2 (6.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.16%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood.

Result
Atalanta BCDrawLazio
49.77% (0.097000000000001 0.1) 23.8% (-0.032 -0.03) 26.43% (-0.067 -0.07)
Both teams to score 57.06% (0.048000000000002 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.55% (0.090000000000003 0.09)44.44% (-0.091999999999999 -0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.18% (0.086999999999996 0.09)66.81% (-0.088000000000008 -0.09)
Atalanta BC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.05% (0.072000000000003 0.07)17.95% (-0.073999999999998 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.22% (0.125 0.13)48.77% (-0.127 -0.13)
Lazio Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.54% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)30.46% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.33% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)66.67%
Score Analysis
    Atalanta BC 49.77%
    Lazio 26.43%
    Draw 23.8%
Atalanta BCDrawLazio
2-1 @ 9.59% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
1-0 @ 9.39% (-0.014999999999999 -0.01)
2-0 @ 8.07% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-1 @ 5.49% (0.016 0.02)
3-0 @ 4.62% (0.014 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.26% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.36% (0.013 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.98% (0.01 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.4% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 3.61%
Total : 49.77%
1-1 @ 11.16% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.7% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-0 @ 5.47% (-0.022 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.29% (0.004 0)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 23.8%
1-2 @ 6.64% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-1 @ 6.5% (-0.026 -0.03)
0-2 @ 3.86% (-0.016 -0.02)
1-3 @ 2.63% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-3 @ 2.26% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 1.53% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 3.02%
Total : 26.43%

How you voted: Atalanta vs Lazio

Atalanta BC
57.2%
Draw
26.8%
Lazio
15.9%
138
Head to Head
Jan 22, 2022 7.45pm
Oct 30, 2021 2pm
Atalanta
2-2
Lazio
Zapata (45+1'), De Roon (90+4')
Demiral (78')
Pedro (18'), Immobile (74')
Felipe (34'), Reina (90+1'), Leiva (90+3')
Jan 31, 2021 2pm
Atalanta
1-3
Lazio
Pasalic (79')
Marusic (3'), Correa (51'), Muriqi (82')
Patric (23'), Musacchio (57')
Jan 27, 2021 4.45pm
Atalanta
3-2
Lazio
Djimsiti (7'), Malinovskyi (37'), Miranchuk (57')
Romero (11'), Malinovskyi (16')
Luis Palomino (53')
Muriqi (17'), Acerbi (34')
Patric (22'), Fares (22'), Escalante (57')
Sep 30, 2020 7.45pm
Lazio
1-4
Atalanta
Caicedo (57')
Marusic (12'), Alberto (26'), Leiva (40'), Cataldi (70'), Acerbi (72'), Caicedo (75'), Immobile (90+4')
Gosens (10'), Hateboer (32'), Papu (41', 61')
Djimsiti (17'), Freuler (26')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli128221991026
2Atalanta BCAtalanta1281331151625
3Fiorentina1274125101525
4Inter Milan1274126141225
5Lazio1281325141125
6Juventus126602171424
7AC Milan115332014618
8Bologna114611513218
9Udinese125161518-316
10Empoli12363910-115
11Torino124261518-314
12Roma123451417-313
13Parma122641618-212
14Hellas VeronaHellas Verona124081727-1012
15Como122461323-1010
16CagliariCagliari122461222-1010
17Genoa12246922-1310
18Lecce12237521-169
19Monza121561015-58
20VeneziaVenezia122281121-108


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