Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a LASK Linz win with a probability of 48.32%. A win for Ludogorets Razgrad had a probability of 27.95% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a LASK Linz win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.81%) and 0-2 (7.57%). The likeliest Ludogorets Razgrad win was 2-1 (6.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that LASK Linz would win this match.