Neftchi Baku

2 - 1

Shkupi

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Neftchi Baku win with a probability of 54.47%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for Shkupi had a probability of 20.78%.

The most likely scoreline for a Neftchi Baku win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.57%) and 2-1 (9.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.7%), while for a Shkupi win it was 0-1 (7.2%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Neftchi Baku would win this match.