Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nice win with a probability of 54.61%. A win for Hapoel Be'er Sheva had a probability of 22.96% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nice win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.09%) and 2-0 (8.57%). The likeliest Hapoel Be'er Sheva win was 1-2 (5.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nice would win this match.
