Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Saint-Etienne win with a probability of 45.94%. A win for Nice had a probability of 27.37% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Saint-Etienne win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.96%) and 2-0 (8.69%). The likeliest Nice win was 0-1 (8.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Saint-Etienne | Draw | Nice |
45.94% | 26.69% | 27.37% |
Both teams to score 48.77% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.34% | 55.66% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.19% | 76.81% |
Saint-Etienne Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.82% | 24.18% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.49% | 58.51% |
Nice Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.33% | 35.67% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.56% | 72.44% |
Score Analysis |
Saint-Etienne | Draw | Nice |
1-0 @ 12.24% 2-1 @ 8.96% 2-0 @ 8.69% 3-1 @ 4.24% 3-0 @ 4.11% 3-2 @ 2.19% 4-1 @ 1.5% 4-0 @ 1.46% Other @ 2.54% Total : 45.93% | 1-1 @ 12.62% 0-0 @ 8.63% 2-2 @ 4.62% Other @ 0.82% Total : 26.69% | 0-1 @ 8.89% 1-2 @ 6.51% 0-2 @ 4.58% 1-3 @ 2.24% 2-3 @ 1.59% 0-3 @ 1.58% Other @ 1.99% Total : 27.37% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 16 | 12 | 4 | 0 | 44 | 14 | 30 | 40 |
2 | Marseille | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 32 | 18 | 14 | 30 |
3 | MonacoMonaco | 16 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 26 | 16 | 10 | 30 |
4 | Lille | 15 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 25 | 15 | 10 | 27 |
5 | Lyon | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 27 | 20 | 7 | 25 |
6 | Nice | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 28 | 19 | 9 | 24 |
7 | Lens | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 24 |
8 | Auxerre | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 23 | 23 | 0 | 21 |
9 | Toulouse | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 21 |
10 | Reims | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 20 |
11 | Brest | 15 | 6 | 1 | 8 | 24 | 27 | -3 | 19 |
12 | Rennes | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 17 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 25 | 27 | -2 | 17 |
14 | NantesNantes | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 14 |
15 | Angers | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 13 |
16 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 15 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 12 | 34 | -22 | 13 |
17 | Le HavreLe Havre | 15 | 4 | 0 | 11 | 11 | 29 | -18 | 12 |
18 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 15 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 15 | 38 | -23 | 9 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |