MX23RW : Monday, November 11 16:06:24| >> :300:86500:86500:
AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Groningen
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NAC Breda
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Willem II
Ajax
Eredivisie | Gameweek 8
Oct 6, 2024 at 3.45pm UK
Amsterdam ArenA
Groningen

Ajax
3 - 1
Groningen

Klaassen (21'), Weghorst (90+1'), Akpom (90+4')
Sutalo (65'), Baas (73'), Godts (83')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Schreuders (69')
Resink (42'), Blokzijl (71')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between Ajax and Groningen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Slavia Prague 1-1 Ajax
Thursday, October 3 at 5.45pm in Europa League
Last Game: Groningen 0-1 Go Ahead Eagles
Sunday, September 29 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie

We said: Ajax 2-1 Groningen

Despite Ajax's lengthy injury list, they have maintained an excellent record at home this season, and given the visitors' recent results and historic performances in this fixture, we feel the hosts should be able to come away with all three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 66.56%. A draw had a probability of 19.3% and a win for Groningen had a probability of 14.18%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.3%) and 2-1 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.1%), while for a Groningen win it was 0-1 (4.22%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ajax would win this match.

Result
AjaxDrawGroningen
66.56% (-0.52800000000001 -0.53) 19.25% (0.185 0.18) 14.18% (0.341 0.34)
Both teams to score 51.89% (0.308 0.31)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.62% (-0.07 -0.07)41.37% (0.067999999999998 0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.22% (-0.073 -0.07)63.77% (0.067999999999998 0.07)
Ajax Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.45% (-0.163 -0.16)11.54% (0.16 0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.53% (-0.352 -0.35)36.47% (0.348 0.35)
Groningen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.67% (0.455 0.45)41.33% (-0.459 -0.46)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.15% (0.396 0.4)77.85% (-0.399 -0.4)
Score Analysis
    Ajax 66.56%
    Groningen 14.18%
    Draw 19.25%
AjaxDrawGroningen
2-0 @ 11.12% (-0.11 -0.11)
1-0 @ 10.3% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-1 @ 9.83% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
3-0 @ 8% (-0.132 -0.13)
3-1 @ 7.07% (-0.027 -0.03)
4-0 @ 4.32% (-0.1 -0.1)
4-1 @ 3.82% (-0.039 -0.04)
3-2 @ 3.12% (0.027 0.03)
5-0 @ 1.87% (-0.056 -0.06)
4-2 @ 1.69% (0.0029999999999999 0)
5-1 @ 1.65% (-0.028 -0.03)
Other @ 3.79%
Total : 66.56%
1-1 @ 9.1% (0.083 0.08)
0-0 @ 4.77% (0.014 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.34% (0.065 0.07)
3-3 @ 0.92% (0.019 0.02)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 19.25%
0-1 @ 4.22% (0.066 0.07)
1-2 @ 4.02% (0.086 0.09)
0-2 @ 1.86% (0.051 0.05)
2-3 @ 1.28% (0.034 0.03)
1-3 @ 1.18% (0.039 0.04)
Other @ 1.62%
Total : 14.18%

How you voted: Ajax vs Groningen

Ajax
91.2%
Draw
7.0%
Groningen
1.8%
57
Head to Head
May 16, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 32
Groningen
2-3
Ajax
Kruger (39'), Duarte (87')
Pepi (9'), Bech Sorensen (72'), Musampa (90+2')
Tadic (19' pen.), Brobbey (68'), Maduro (81')
Aug 14, 2022 1.30pm
Gameweek 2
Ajax
6-1
Groningen
Bergwijn (4', 45', 57'), Antony (28'), Taylor (66'), Berghuis (88' pen.)
Tadic (30')
Ngonge (10')
Apr 2, 2022 3.30pm
Gameweek 25
Groningen
1-3
Ajax
Klaassen (45+1'), Tadic (45+6' pen.), Berghuis (90+1')
Sep 25, 2021 5.45pm
Gameweek 6
Ajax
3-0
Groningen
Alvarez (40'), Antony (56'), Mazraoui (81')

Suslov (36')
Mar 7, 2021 11.15am
Gameweek 25
Ajax
3-1
Groningen
Gravenberch (5'), Haller (54'), Tadic (77' pen.)
Kudus (48'), Klaassen (83')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PSV EindhovenPSV1211014093133
2FC UtrechtUtrecht119112011928
3Ajax1182125111426
4Feyenoord1274128131525
5FC Twente1264224111322
6AZ AlkmaarAZ125252314917
7Fortuna SittardSittard125251316-317
8NECNijmegen125161910916
9Willem II124351312115
10Go Ahead Eagles124351520-515
11NAC BredaNAC Breda125071221-915
12Heerenveen124261323-1014
13Groningen123361219-712
14PEC Zwolle123361422-812
15Heracles123361223-1112
16Sparta RotterdamSparta122551218-611
17Almere CityAlmere City12138627-216
18RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk1211101031-214


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