Eredivisie | Gameweek 8
Oct 6, 2024 at 3.45pm UK
Amsterdam ArenA
Ajax3 - 1Groningen
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Slavia Prague 1-1 Ajax
Thursday, October 3 at 5.45pm in Europa League
Thursday, October 3 at 5.45pm in Europa League
Last Game: Groningen 0-1 Go Ahead Eagles
Sunday, September 29 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie
Sunday, September 29 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie
We said: Ajax 2-1 Groningen
Despite Ajax's lengthy injury list, they have maintained an excellent record at home this season, and given the visitors' recent results and historic performances in this fixture, we feel the hosts should be able to come away with all three points. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 66.56%. A draw had a probability of 19.3% and a win for Groningen had a probability of 14.18%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.3%) and 2-1 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.1%), while for a Groningen win it was 0-1 (4.22%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ajax would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Ajax | Draw | Groningen |
66.56% ( -0.53) | 19.25% ( 0.18) | 14.18% ( 0.34) |
| Both teams to score 51.89% ( 0.31) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.62% ( -0.07) | 41.37% ( 0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.22% ( -0.07) | 63.77% ( 0.07) |
| Ajax Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.45% ( -0.16) | 11.54% ( 0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 63.53% ( -0.35) | 36.47% ( 0.35) |
| Groningen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.67% ( 0.45) | 41.33% ( -0.46) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 22.15% ( 0.4) | 77.85% ( -0.4) |
| Score Analysis |
Ajax 66.56%
Groningen 14.18%
Draw 19.25%
| Ajax | Draw | Groningen |
| 2-0 @ 11.12% ( -0.11) 1-0 @ 10.3% ( -0.03)2-1 @ 9.83% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 8% ( -0.13)3-1 @ 7.07% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 4.32% ( -0.1)4-1 @ 3.82% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 3.12% ( 0.03)5-0 @ 1.87% ( -0.06)4-2 @ 1.69% ( 0)5-1 @ 1.65% ( -0.03)Other @ 3.79% Total : 66.56% | 1-1 @ 9.1% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 4.77% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 4.34% ( 0.07)3-3 @ 0.92% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.12% Total : 19.25% | 0-1 @ 4.22% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 4.02% ( 0.09)0-2 @ 1.86% ( 0.05)2-3 @ 1.28% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 1.18% ( 0.04)Other @ 1.62% Total : 14.18% |
How you voted: Ajax vs Groningen
Ajax
91.2%Draw
7.0%Groningen
1.8%57
Head to Head
May 16, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 32
Groningen
2-3
Ajax
Apr 2, 2022 3.30pm
Sep 25, 2021 5.45pm
Mar 7, 2021 11.15am
Gameweek 25
Ajax
3-1
Groningen
Form Guide
