Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: RKC Waalwijk 1-2 Sparta
Saturday, September 21 at 5.45pm in Eredivisie
Saturday, September 21 at 5.45pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Ajax 4-0 Besiktas
Thursday, September 26 at 8pm in Europa League
Thursday, September 26 at 8pm in Europa League
We said: RKC Waalwijk 0-3 Ajax
With momentum from a dominant midweek continental victory and the need to build a winning run in their bid to regain the Eredivisie title, Ajax should have more than enough to cruise past an RKC Waalwijk side devoid of any confidence at the start of the term. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 60.2%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for RKC Waalwijk had a probability of 19.42%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.71%) and 0-1 (8.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.25%), while for a RKC Waalwijk win it was 2-1 (5.23%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ajax would win this match.
| Result | ||
| RKC Waalwijk | Draw | Ajax |
19.42% ( 0.24) | 20.39% ( -0.06) | 60.2% ( -0.17) |
| Both teams to score 59.64% ( 0.68) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.22% ( 0.69) | 36.78% ( -0.68) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.05% ( 0.74) | 58.95% ( -0.74) |
| RKC Waalwijk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.7% ( 0.64) | 32.3% ( -0.64) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 31.2% ( 0.72) | 68.8% ( -0.72) |
| Ajax Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.1% ( 0.17) | 11.9% ( -0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 62.76% ( 0.35) | 37.24% ( -0.34) |
| Score Analysis |
RKC Waalwijk 19.42%
Ajax 60.2%
Draw 20.39%
| RKC Waalwijk | Draw | Ajax |
| 2-1 @ 5.23% ( 0.04) 1-0 @ 4.35% ( -0.07)2-0 @ 2.46% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.1% ( 0.07)3-1 @ 1.97% ( 0.05)3-0 @ 0.93% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.4% Total : 19.42% | 1-1 @ 9.25% ( -0.09) 2-2 @ 5.56% ( 0.08)0-0 @ 3.85% ( -0.13)3-3 @ 1.49% ( 0.06)Other @ 0.25% Total : 20.39% | 1-2 @ 9.84% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 8.71% ( -0.18)0-1 @ 8.18% ( -0.22)1-3 @ 6.98% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 6.18% ( -0.09)2-3 @ 3.95% ( 0.08)1-4 @ 3.72% ( 0.04)0-4 @ 3.29% ( -0.02)2-4 @ 2.1% ( 0.06)1-5 @ 1.58% ( 0.02)0-5 @ 1.4% ( -0)Other @ 4.28% Total : 60.2% |
How you voted: RKC Waalwijk vs Ajax
RKC Waalwijk
6.1%Draw
10.2%Ajax
83.7%49
Head to Head
Feb 12, 2023 3.45pm
Oct 22, 2022 5.45pm
Mar 6, 2022 3.45pm
Gameweek 22
Ajax
3-2
RKC Waalwijk
Form Guide
