Eredivisie | Gameweek 9
Oct 20, 2024 at 1.30pm UK
Erve Asito
Heracles3 - 4Ajax
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Go Ahead Eagles 4-1 Heracles
Sunday, October 6 at 11.15am in Eredivisie
Sunday, October 6 at 11.15am in Eredivisie
Last Game: Ajax 3-1 Groningen
Sunday, October 6 at 3.45pm in Eredivisie
Sunday, October 6 at 3.45pm in Eredivisie
We said: Heracles 1-3 Ajax
While Heracles have shown improvement over the last month, it is difficult to ignore Ajax's incredible record in this fixture, and given the visitors' start this season, we feel they will secure a fairly comfortable three points in this one. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 62.02%. A draw had a probability of 19% and a win for Heracles had a probability of 18.98%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.65%) and 1-3 (7.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.08%), while for a Heracles win it was 2-1 (5%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ajax would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Heracles | Draw | Ajax |
18.98% ( -0.03) | 18.99% ( -0.07) | 62.02% ( 0.11) |
| Both teams to score 64.15% ( 0.21) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 69.36% ( 0.3) | 30.64% ( -0.3) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 48.04% ( 0.35) | 51.96% ( -0.36) |
| Heracles Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.97% ( 0.15) | 29.03% ( -0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 35.07% ( 0.18) | 64.93% ( -0.18) |
| Ajax Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.39% ( 0.11) | 9.61% ( -0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 67.88% ( 0.26) | 32.12% ( -0.26) |
| Score Analysis |
Heracles 18.98%
Ajax 62.02%
Draw 18.99%
| Heracles | Draw | Ajax |
| 2-1 @ 5% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 3.45% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 2.41% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 2.13% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 2.06% ( 0)Other @ 3.92% Total : 18.98% | 1-1 @ 8.08% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 5.85% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 2.79% ( -0.05)3-3 @ 1.89% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.38% Total : 18.99% | 1-2 @ 9.47% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 7.65% ( -0.05)1-3 @ 7.39% ( 0.02)0-1 @ 6.53% ( -0.08)0-3 @ 5.98% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 4.57% ( 0.03)1-4 @ 4.33% ( 0.03)0-4 @ 3.5% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 2.68% ( 0.03)1-5 @ 2.03% ( 0.02)0-5 @ 1.64% ( 0.01)2-5 @ 1.25% ( 0.02)3-4 @ 1.1% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.9% Total : 62.02% |
How you voted: Heracles vs Ajax
Heracles
0.0%Draw
6.3%Ajax
93.8%32
Form Guide
