Champions League | Third Qualifying Round | 1st Leg
Aug 3, 2022 at 5pm UK
Groupama Aréna
Qarabag FK1 - 1Ferencvaros
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Slovan Bratislava 1-4 Ferencvaros
Wednesday, July 27 at 7.30pm in Champions League
Wednesday, July 27 at 7.30pm in Champions League
We said: Qarabag FK 1-1 Ferencvaros
Both managers would view a draw as a respectable result in the first leg, and we are struggling to separate the two sides here. Ferencvaros were excellent in the second leg against Zurich last time out and will fancy their chances of avoiding a first-leg defeat on Wednesday night. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ferencvaros win with a probability of 43.06%. A win for Qarabag FK had a probability of 33.93% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ferencvaros win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.62%) and 0-2 (5.77%). The likeliest Qarabag FK win was 2-1 (7.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.11%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
| Result | ||
| Qarabag FK | Draw | Ferencvaros |
33.93% ( -0.42) | 23% ( 0.02) | 43.06% ( 0.4) |
| Both teams to score 64.59% ( -0.2) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.46% ( -0.21) | 36.54% ( 0.21) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.31% ( -0.23) | 58.69% ( 0.23) |
| Qarabag FK Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.28% ( -0.31) | 21.71% ( 0.32) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 45.12% ( -0.48) | 54.87% ( 0.49) |
| Ferencvaros Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.5% ( 0.08) | 17.49% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 52.01% ( 0.13) | 47.99% ( -0.13) |
| Score Analysis |
Qarabag FK 33.93%
Ferencvaros 43.06%
Draw 23%
| Qarabag FK | Draw | Ferencvaros |
| 2-1 @ 7.72% ( -0.05) 1-0 @ 5.8% ( 0)2-0 @ 4.43% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 3.93% ( -0.06)3-2 @ 3.43% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 2.26% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 1.5% ( -0.04)4-2 @ 1.31% ( -0.03)Other @ 3.56% Total : 33.93% | 1-1 @ 10.11% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 6.73% ( -0.02)0-0 @ 3.8% ( 0.04)3-3 @ 1.99% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.37% Total : 23% | 1-2 @ 8.82% ( 0.05) 0-1 @ 6.62% ( 0.09)0-2 @ 5.77% ( 0.09)1-3 @ 5.12% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 3.91% ( -0)0-3 @ 3.35% ( 0.06)1-4 @ 2.23% ( 0.02)2-4 @ 1.71% ( 0)0-4 @ 1.46% ( 0.03)Other @ 4.06% Total : 43.06% |
How you voted: Qarabag FK vs Ferencvaros
Qarabag FK
52.0%Draw
18.2%Ferencvaros
29.7%148
Form Guide
