Champions League | Third Qualifying Round | 2nd Leg
Aug 9, 2022 at 7pm UK
Tofiq Bəhramov adına Respublika stadionu
Ferencvaros1 - 3Qarabag FK
Form, Standings, Stats
We said: Ferencvaros 2-1 Qarabag FK A.E.T. (Ferencvaros win 3-2 on aggregate)
The combination of home advantage and the wily management of their coach should see Ferencvaros over the line in this well-matched contest, but they may require an extra 30 minutes to get there due to Qarabag's ability to fight back from behind. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ferencvaros win with a probability of 53.98%. A win for Qarabag FK had a probability of 25.38% and a draw had a probability of 20.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ferencvaros win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.61%) and 2-0 (6.38%). The likeliest Qarabag FK win was 1-2 (6.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.5%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Ferencvaros | Draw | Qarabag FK |
53.98% ( 0.02) | 20.64% ( -0.01) | 25.38% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 67.49% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
