Europa League | Group Stage
Sep 21, 2023 at 5.45pm UK
Malaya Sportivnaya Arena
Sheriff Tiraspol1 - 2Roma
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Roma 7-0 Empoli
Sunday, September 17 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Sunday, September 17 at 7.45pm in Serie A
We said: Sheriff Tiraspol 1-2 Roma
With confidence high after posting the club's biggest Serie A victory since 2006, Roma should be able to navigate a tricky away fixture to start their Group G campaign. Although Jose Mourinho may make several changes, the Giallorossi's squad depth is greater these days and Sheriff will come up short on home soil. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sheriff Tiraspol win with a probability of 37.83%. A win for Roma had a probability of 32.33% and a draw had a probability of 29.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sheriff Tiraspol win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.46%) and 2-0 (7.45%). The likeliest Roma win was 0-1 (12.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Roma in this match.
| Result | ||
| Sheriff Tiraspol | Draw | Roma |
37.83% ( 0) | 29.83% ( 0.01) | 32.33% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 42.34% ( -0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
