Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 58.29%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Empoli had a probability of 18.04%.
The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.47%) and 2-1 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.17%), while for a Empoli win it was 0-1 (6.51%). The actual scoreline of 7-0 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Roma would win this match.
Result | ||
Roma | Draw | Empoli |
58.29% ( -1.65) | 23.67% ( 0.54) | 18.04% ( 1.11) |
Both teams to score 46.47% ( 0.5) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.96% ( -0.43) | 53.03% ( 0.43) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.37% ( -0.37) | 74.62% ( 0.37) |
Roma Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.04% ( -0.75) | 17.96% ( 0.75) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.2% ( -1.3) | 48.8% ( 1.3) |
Empoli Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
56.65% ( 1.11) | 43.35% ( -1.11) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
20.41% ( 0.92) | 79.58% ( -0.92) |
Score Analysis |
Roma | Draw | Empoli |
1-0 @ 13.36% ( -0.1) 2-0 @ 11.47% ( -0.37) 2-1 @ 9.59% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 6.57% ( -0.38) 3-1 @ 5.49% ( -0.14) 4-0 @ 2.82% ( -0.24) 4-1 @ 2.36% ( -0.12) 3-2 @ 2.3% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 0.99% ( -0.02) 5-0 @ 0.97% ( -0.11) Other @ 2.37% Total : 58.28% | 1-1 @ 11.17% ( 0.26) 0-0 @ 7.79% ( 0.13) 2-2 @ 4.01% ( 0.12) Other @ 0.7% Total : 23.66% | 0-1 @ 6.51% ( 0.31) 1-2 @ 4.67% ( 0.25) 0-2 @ 2.72% ( 0.21) 1-3 @ 1.3% ( 0.11) 2-3 @ 1.12% ( 0.07) Other @ 1.72% Total : 18.04% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Napoli | 11 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 8 | 10 | 25 |
2 | Inter Milan | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 25 | 13 | 12 | 24 |
3 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 29 | 14 | 15 | 22 |
4 | Fiorentina | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 22 | 9 | 13 | 22 |
5 | Lazio | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 24 | 14 | 10 | 22 |
6 | Juventus | 11 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 19 | 7 | 12 | 21 |
7 | AC Milan | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 17 |
8 | Udinese | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 16 |
9 | Bologna | 10 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 12 | 11 | 1 | 15 |
10 | Torino | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 15 | 16 | -1 | 14 |
11 | Empoli | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 14 |
12 | Roma | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 14 | -2 | 13 |
13 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 11 | 4 | 0 | 7 | 16 | 24 | -8 | 12 |
14 | Como | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 10 |
15 | Genoa | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 9 | 22 | -13 | 10 |
16 | CagliariCagliari | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 19 | -10 | 9 |
17 | Parma | 11 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 14 | 17 | -3 | 9 |
18 | Monza | 11 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 14 | -4 | 8 |
19 | VeneziaVenezia | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 10 | 19 | -9 | 8 |
20 | Lecce | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 4 | 20 | -16 | 8 |
> Serie A Full Table |