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Serie A | Gameweek 4
Sep 17, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Olimpico
Empoli logo

Roma
7 - 0
Empoli

Dybala (2' pen., 55'), Sanches (8'), Grassi (35' og.), Cristante (79'), Lukaku (82'), Mancini (86')
Dybala (38'), Sanches (39')
FT(HT: 3-0)

Cancellieri (39'), Maleh (58')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Roma and Empoli, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Roma 1-2 AC Milan
Friday, September 1 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Empoli 0-2 Juventus
Sunday, September 3 at 7.45pm in Serie A

We said: Roma 2-1 Empoli

Empoli will finally break their goal drought, but points may continue to elude them; if Roma can pair Lukaku and Dybala together for a sustained spell, the capital club's ailing fortunes can dramatically change. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 58.29%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Empoli had a probability of 18.04%.

The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.47%) and 2-1 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.17%), while for a Empoli win it was 0-1 (6.51%). The actual scoreline of 7-0 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Roma would win this match.

Result
RomaDrawEmpoli
58.29% (-1.646 -1.65) 23.67% (0.535 0.54) 18.04% (1.11 1.11)
Both teams to score 46.47% (0.497 0.5)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.96% (-0.434 -0.43)53.03% (0.434 0.43)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.37% (-0.373 -0.37)74.62% (0.373 0.37)
Roma Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.04% (-0.747 -0.75)17.96% (0.747 0.75)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.2% (-1.303 -1.3)48.8% (1.301 1.3)
Empoli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.65% (1.112 1.11)43.35% (-1.114 -1.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.41% (0.916 0.92)79.58% (-0.916 -0.92)
Score Analysis
    Roma 58.28%
    Empoli 18.04%
    Draw 23.66%
RomaDrawEmpoli
1-0 @ 13.36% (-0.1 -0.1)
2-0 @ 11.47% (-0.37 -0.37)
2-1 @ 9.59% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-0 @ 6.57% (-0.38 -0.38)
3-1 @ 5.49% (-0.142 -0.14)
4-0 @ 2.82% (-0.237 -0.24)
4-1 @ 2.36% (-0.12 -0.12)
3-2 @ 2.3% (0.012 0.01)
4-2 @ 0.99% (-0.019 -0.02)
5-0 @ 0.97% (-0.108 -0.11)
Other @ 2.37%
Total : 58.28%
1-1 @ 11.17% (0.26 0.26)
0-0 @ 7.79% (0.132 0.13)
2-2 @ 4.01% (0.118 0.12)
Other @ 0.7%
Total : 23.66%
0-1 @ 6.51% (0.305 0.31)
1-2 @ 4.67% (0.248 0.25)
0-2 @ 2.72% (0.206 0.21)
1-3 @ 1.3% (0.107 0.11)
2-3 @ 1.12% (0.066 0.07)
Other @ 1.72%
Total : 18.04%

How you voted: Roma vs Empoli

Roma
88.5%
Draw
9.0%
Empoli
2.6%
78
Head to Head
Feb 4, 2023 5pm
Gameweek 21
Roma
2-0
Empoli
Ibanez (2'), Abraham (6')
Sep 12, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 6
Empoli
1-2
Roma
Dybala (17'), Abraham (71')
Jan 23, 2022 5pm
Gameweek 23
Empoli
2-4
Roma
Pinamonti (55'), Bajrami (72')
Tonelli (63'), Benassi (83')
Abraham (24', 33'), Oliveira (35'), Zaniolo (37')
Mancini (52'), Cristante (85')
Oct 3, 2021 5pm
Gameweek 7
Roma
2-0
Empoli
Pellegrini (42'), Mkhitaryan (48')
Mancini (57'), Zaniolo (85')

Ricci (46'), Haas (56'), Stojanovic (90+1')
Mar 11, 2019 7.30pm
Gameweek 27
Roma
2-1
Empoli
El Shaarawy (9'), Schick (33')
Florenzi (13'), Cristante (13'), El Shaarawy (62')
Florenzi (80')
Jesus (12' og.)
Acquah (37')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli128221991026
2Atalanta BCAtalanta1281331151625
3Fiorentina1274125101525
4Inter Milan1274126141225
5Lazio1281325141125
6Juventus126602171424
7AC Milan115332014618
8Bologna114611513218
9Udinese125161518-316
10Empoli12363910-115
11Torino124261518-314
12Roma123451417-313
13Parma122641618-212
14Hellas VeronaHellas Verona124081727-1012
15Como122461323-1010
16CagliariCagliari122461222-1010
17Genoa12246922-1310
18Lecce12237521-169
19Monza121561015-58
20VeneziaVenezia122281121-108


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