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Serie A
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Serie A | Gameweek 1
Aug 20, 2023 at 5.30pm UK
Stadio Olimpico
Salernitana

Roma
2 - 2
Salernitana

Belotti (17', 82')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Candreva (36', 49')
Gyomber (41'), Maggiore (66'), Kastanos (69'), Fazio (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Roma and Salernitana, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Roma

All competitions
Serie A
Last Game: Partizani Tirana 1-2 Roma
Saturday, August 12 at 7pm in Club Friendlies 1

Salernitana

All competitions
Serie A
Last Game: Salernitana 1-0 Ternana
Sunday, August 13 at 4.45pm in Coppa Italia

We said: Roma 1-1 Salernitana

 No team drew more games in Europe's top five leagues last season (15, level with Reims and Nantes), so Salernitana are not easy to beat under Paulo Sousa. With a settled side and a proven goal threat, the visitors can therefore frustrate their hosts on matchday one and restrict new-look Roma to just a point. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 59.11%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Salernitana had a probability of 17.75%.

The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.39%) and 2-1 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.96%), while for a Salernitana win it was 0-1 (6.2%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
RomaDrawSalernitana
59.11% (-0.157 -0.16) 23.14% (0.112 0.11) 17.75% (0.042999999999999 0.04)
Both teams to score 47.49% (-0.255 -0.26)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.61% (-0.38200000000001 -0.38)51.39% (0.382 0.38)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.79% (-0.336 -0.34)73.21% (0.33499999999999 0.33)
Roma Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.93% (-0.19200000000001 -0.19)17.07% (0.191 0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.74% (-0.339 -0.34)47.26% (0.33900000000001 0.34)
Salernitana Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.27% (-0.174 -0.17)42.73% (0.174 0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.94% (-0.148 -0.15)79.06% (0.14700000000001 0.15)
Score Analysis
    Roma 59.1%
    Salernitana 17.75%
    Draw 23.13%
RomaDrawSalernitana
1-0 @ 12.89% (0.11 0.11)
2-0 @ 11.39% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
2-1 @ 9.69% (-0.020999999999999 -0.02)
3-0 @ 6.72% (-0.025 -0.03)
3-1 @ 5.71% (-0.049 -0.05)
4-0 @ 2.97% (-0.03 -0.03)
4-1 @ 2.52% (-0.038 -0.04)
3-2 @ 2.43% (-0.032 -0.03)
4-2 @ 1.07% (-0.021 -0.02)
5-0 @ 1.05% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 59.1%
1-1 @ 10.96% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
0-0 @ 7.3% (0.111 0.11)
2-2 @ 4.12% (-0.029 -0.03)
Other @ 0.76%
Total : 23.13%
0-1 @ 6.2% (0.065 0.07)
1-2 @ 4.66% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-2 @ 2.64% (0.015 0.02)
1-3 @ 1.32% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.17% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 1.76%
Total : 17.75%

How you voted: Roma vs Salernitana

Roma
68.6%
Draw
23.5%
Salernitana
7.8%
51
Head to Head
May 22, 2023 5.30pm
Gameweek 36
Roma
2-2
Salernitana
El Shaarawy (47'), Matic (83')
Zalewski (90+4')
Candreva (12'), Dia (54')
Gyomber (69'), Ochoa (85'), Daniliuc (87'), Dia (90+5')
Sousa (90+5')
> Preview
Aug 14, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 1
Salernitana
0-1
Roma

Coulibaly (28'), Gyomber (39'), Kastanos (40')
Cristante (33')
Smalling (48'), Matic (72')
> Preview
Apr 10, 2022 5pm
Gameweek 32
Roma
2-1
Salernitana
Perez (82'), Smalling (85')
Kumbulla (21'), Cristante (54'), Mkhitaryan (80'), Abraham (90'), Patricio (90+4')
Radovanovic (22')
Bohinen (13'), Djuric (30'), Gyomber (41'), Ribery (67'), Sepe (71'), Kastanos (75'), Zortea (81'), Radovanovic (90')
> Preview
Aug 29, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 2
Salernitana
0-4
Roma

Bonazzoli (35'), Aya (50')
Pellegrini (48', 79'), Veretout (52'), Abraham (69')
Perez (40'), Mkhitaryan (67')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli128221991026
2Atalanta BCAtalanta1281331151625
3Fiorentina1274125101525
4Inter Milan1274126141225
5Lazio1281325141125
6Juventus126602171424
7AC Milan115332014618
8Bologna114611513218
9Udinese125161518-316
10Empoli12363910-115
11Torino124261518-314
12Roma123451417-313
13Parma122641618-212
14Hellas VeronaHellas Verona124081727-1012
15Como122461323-1010
16CagliariCagliari122461222-1010
17Genoa12246922-1310
18Lecce12237521-169
19Monza121561015-58
20VeneziaVenezia122281121-108
> Serie A Full Table


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