Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ventspils win with a probability of 59.7%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for Dinamo-Auto had a probability of 18.37%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ventspils win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.4%) and 2-1 (9.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.4%), while for a Dinamo-Auto win it was 0-1 (5.46%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ventspils would win this match.