Europa League

Europa League | Group Stage

Dec 10, 2020 at 8pm UK

Estadio de la Cerámica

Villarreal
3 - 0
Qarabag FK

Preview

Data Analysis

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Villarreal and Qarabag FK, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 60.01%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Qarabag FK had a probability of 16.78%.

The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.96%) and 2-1 (9.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.92%), while for a Qarabag FK win it was 0-1 (6.24%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Villarreal would win this match.

Result
Villarreal	Draw	Qarabag FK
60.01%	23.21%	16.78%

Both teams to score 45.5%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.91%

53.09%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.33%

74.67%

Villarreal Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.63%

17.36%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.23%

47.76%

Qarabag FK Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

55.05%

44.94%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

19.11%

80.89%

Score Analysis

Villarreal 60.01%

Qarabag FK 16.78%

Draw 23.2%

Villarreal	Draw	Qarabag FK
1-0 @ 13.66% 2-0 @ 11.96% 2-1 @ 9.57% 3-0 @ 6.98% 3-1 @ 5.58% 4-0 @ 3.06% 4-1 @ 2.44% 3-2 @ 2.23% 5-0 @ 1.07% 4-2 @ 0.98% Other @ 2.48% Total : 60.01%	1-1 @ 10.92% 0-0 @ 7.8% 2-2 @ 3.83% Other @ 0.65% Total : 23.2%	0-1 @ 6.24% 1-2 @ 4.37% 0-2 @ 2.5% 1-3 @ 1.17% 2-3 @ 1.02% Other @ 1.49% Total : 16.78%