Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Sociedad win with a probability of 43.56%. A win for Villarreal had a probability of 29.4% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.74%) and 2-0 (8.15%). The likeliest Villarreal win was 0-1 (9.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.78%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Real Sociedad | Draw | Villarreal |
43.56% | 27.04% | 29.4% |
Both teams to score 48.99% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.03% | 55.97% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.93% | 77.07% |
Real Sociedad Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.51% | 25.49% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.66% | 60.34% |
Villarreal Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.76% | 34.24% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.06% | 70.94% |
Score Analysis |
Real Sociedad | Draw | Villarreal |
1-0 @ 11.93% 2-1 @ 8.74% 2-0 @ 8.15% 3-1 @ 3.98% 3-0 @ 3.72% 3-2 @ 2.13% 4-1 @ 1.36% 4-0 @ 1.27% Other @ 2.28% Total : 43.56% | 1-1 @ 12.78% 0-0 @ 8.73% 2-2 @ 4.68% Other @ 0.84% Total : 27.03% | 0-1 @ 9.36% 1-2 @ 6.85% 0-2 @ 5.01% 1-3 @ 2.45% 0-3 @ 1.79% 2-3 @ 1.67% Other @ 2.27% Total : 29.4% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | Germany | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | Switzerland | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | Hungary | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | Scotland | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | Austria | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | France | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | Netherlands | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | Poland | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |