MX23RW : Monday, April 28 08:06:40| >> :600:16980473:16980473:
Denmark national football team
Euro Champ Qualifying | Group Stage
Oct 14, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Parken
Kazakhstan national football team

Denmark
3 - 1
Kazakhstan

Wind (36'), Skov (45+1', 48')
Christensen (23'), Kjaer (27')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Vorogovskiy (58')
Alip (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Euro Champ Qualifying clash between Denmark and Kazakhstan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Last Game: Finland 0-1 Denmark
Sunday, September 10 at 5pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
All competitions
Last Game: Kazakhstan 1-0 N. Ireland
Sunday, September 10 at 2pm in Euro Champ Qualifying

We said: Denmark 2-0 Kazakhstan

Given the unpredictability of this group, there is a feeling that anything can happen in this fixture. Kazakhstan have won twice on their travels, yet they have not faced anyone of Denmark's quality and they could come up short on this occasion. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Denmark win with a probability of 75.67%. A draw had a probability of 15.6% and a win for Kazakhstan had a probability of 8.68%.

The most likely scoreline for a Denmark win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.78%) and 3-0 (10.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.44%), while for a Kazakhstan win it was 0-1 (3.07%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Denmark would win this match.

Result
DenmarkDrawKazakhstan
75.67% (0.13300000000001 0.13) 15.64% (-0.15 -0.15) 8.68% (0.012 0.01)
Both teams to score 45.42% (0.611 0.61)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.14% (0.769 0.77)39.86% (-0.774 -0.77)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.78% (0.794 0.79)62.22% (-0.798 -0.8)
Denmark Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.12% (0.21599999999999 0.22)8.88% (-0.2221 -0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
69.62% (0.529 0.53)30.37% (-0.534 -0.53)
Kazakhstan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
49.84% (0.55 0.55)50.16% (-0.556 -0.56)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
15.23% (0.375 0.38)84.77% (-0.38 -0.38)
Score Analysis
    Denmark 75.66%
    Kazakhstan 8.68%
    Draw 15.64%
DenmarkDrawKazakhstan
2-0 @ 13.05% (-0.2 -0.2)
1-0 @ 10.78% (-0.27 -0.27)
3-0 @ 10.53% (-0.06 -0.06)
2-1 @ 9.01% (0.0080000000000009 0.01)
3-1 @ 7.27% (0.081 0.08)
4-0 @ 6.38% (0.033 0.03)
4-1 @ 4.4% (0.093 0.09)
5-0 @ 3.09% (0.048 0.05)
3-2 @ 2.51% (0.067 0.07)
5-1 @ 2.13% (0.067 0.07)
4-2 @ 1.52% (0.056 0.06)
6-0 @ 1.25% (0.031 0.03)
Other @ 3.73%
Total : 75.66%
1-1 @ 7.44% (-0.069 -0.07)
0-0 @ 4.45% (-0.161 -0.16)
2-2 @ 3.11% (0.052 0.05)
Other @ 0.64%
Total : 15.64%
0-1 @ 3.07% (-0.061 -0.06)
1-2 @ 2.57% (0.017 0.02)
0-2 @ 1.06% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 1.98%
Total : 8.68%

How you voted: Denmark vs Kazakhstan

Denmark
Draw
Kazakhstan
Denmark
76.9%
Draw
9.2%
Kazakhstan
13.8%
65
Head to Head
Mar 26, 2023 2pm
Group Stage
Kazakhstan
3-2
Denmark
Zainutdinov (73' pen.), Tagybergen (86'), Aymbetov (89')
Hojlund (21', 35')
Jun 10, 2017 5pm
Group Stage
Kazakhstan
1-3
Denmark
Kuat (76')
Joergensen (27'), Eriksen (51' pen.), Dolberg (81')
Nov 11, 2016 7.45pm
Group Stage
Denmark
4-1
Kazakhstan
Cornelius (15'), Eriksen (36', 92'), Ankersen (78')
rhs 2.0
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