Euro Champ Qualifying | Group Stage
Sep 7, 2023 at 3pm UK
Astana Arena
Kazakhstan0 - 1Finland
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: N. Ireland 0-1 Kazakhstan
Monday, June 19 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
Monday, June 19 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
| Current Group H Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Finland | 4 | 7 | 9 |
| 2 | Kazakhstan | 4 | 4 | 9 |
| 3 | Denmark | 4 | 2 | 7 |
| 4 | Slovenia | 4 | 1 | 7 |
| 5 | Northern Ireland | 4 | -1 | 3 |
| 6 | San Marino | 4 | -13 | 0 |
Last Game: Finland 6-0 San Marino
Monday, June 19 at 5pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
Monday, June 19 at 5pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
| Current Group H Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Finland | 4 | 7 | 9 |
| 2 | Kazakhstan | 4 | 4 | 9 |
| 3 | Denmark | 4 | 2 | 7 |
| 4 | Slovenia | 4 | 1 | 7 |
| 5 | Northern Ireland | 4 | -1 | 3 |
| 6 | San Marino | 4 | -13 | 0 |
We said: Kazakhstan 2-2 Finland
Given that both sides have won each of their last three qualifiers, we can see Kazakhstan and Finland serving up an entertaining draw as the group leaders aim to keep the chasing pack at bay. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Finland win with a probability of 49.52%. A draw had a probability of 26.5% and a win for Kazakhstan had a probability of 23.98%.
The most likely scoreline for a Finland win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.77%) and 1-2 (9.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.43%), while for a Kazakhstan win it was 1-0 (8.5%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Finland in this match.
| Result | ||
| Kazakhstan | Draw | Finland |
23.98% ( 0) | 26.5% ( 0.01) | 49.52% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 46.51% ( -0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.83% ( -0.04) | 57.17% ( 0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.97% ( -0.03) | 78.03% ( 0.03) |
| Kazakhstan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.54% ( -0.02) | 39.46% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 23.85% ( -0.02) | 76.15% ( 0.02) |
| Finland Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.83% ( -0.02) | 23.17% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 42.95% ( -0.03) | 57.05% ( 0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
Kazakhstan 23.98%
Finland 49.51%
Draw 26.5%
| Kazakhstan | Draw | Finland |
| 1-0 @ 8.5% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 5.78% ( -0)2-0 @ 3.95% ( 0)3-1 @ 1.79% ( -0)3-2 @ 1.31% ( -0)3-0 @ 1.23% Other @ 1.42% Total : 23.98% | 1-1 @ 12.43% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 9.14% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 4.23% ( -0)Other @ 0.7% Total : 26.5% | 0-1 @ 13.36% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 9.77% ( 0)1-2 @ 9.09% ( -0)0-3 @ 4.76% ( -0)1-3 @ 4.43% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.06% ( -0)0-4 @ 1.74% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.62% ( -0)Other @ 2.67% Total : 49.51% |
How you voted: Kazakhstan vs Finland
Kazakhstan
15.5%Draw
25.6%Finland
58.9%129
Head to Head
Oct 12, 2021 3pm
Group Stage
Kazakhstan
0-2
Finland
Sep 4, 2021 2pm
Group Stage
Finland
1-0
Kazakhstan
Form Guide
