MX23RW : Wednesday, April 2 14:51:31| >> :600:14758365:14758365:
Finland national football team
Euro Champ Qualifying | Group Stage
Sep 10, 2023 at 5pm UK
Helsingin olympiastadion
Denmark national football team

Finland
0 - 1
Denmark


Ivanov (18'), Uronen (53'), Pohjanpalo (79')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Hojbjerg (86')
Kristensen (13'), Norgaard (62'), Poulsen (73'), Andersen (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Euro Champ Qualifying clash between Finland and Denmark, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Euro Champ Qualifying
Last Game: Kazakhstan 0-1 Finland
Thursday, September 7 at 3pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
All competitions
Euro Champ Qualifying
Last Game: Denmark 4-0 San Marino
Thursday, September 7 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying

We said: Finland 1-1 Denmark

There is no hiding the fact that Denmark claimed a dominant 3-1 victory in the reverse fixture, but Finland have registered four consecutive clean-sheet wins since then. For that reason, we expect the Eagle-Owls to frustrate the Reds and Whites this time around, with the Nordic neighbours likely to share the spoils in Helsinki. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Finland win with a probability of 38.35%. A win for Denmark had a probability of 34.03% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Finland win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.12%) and 2-0 (7.02%). The likeliest Denmark win was 0-1 (10.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.04%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood.

Result
FinlandDrawDenmark
38.35% (0.07 0.07) 27.62% (-0.072000000000003 -0.07) 34.03% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Both teams to score 48.8% (0.215 0.22)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.06% (0.26900000000001 0.27)56.93% (-0.272 -0.27)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.16% (0.215 0.22)77.84% (-0.21900000000001 -0.22)
Finland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.21% (0.172 0.17)28.79% (-0.175 -0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.36% (0.214 0.21)64.63% (-0.22 -0.22)
Denmark Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.53% (0.13500000000001 0.14)31.47% (-0.14 -0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.15% (0.156 0.16)67.85% (-0.161 -0.16)
Score Analysis
    Finland 38.35%
    Denmark 34.03%
    Draw 27.62%
FinlandDrawDenmark
1-0 @ 11.28% (-0.06 -0.06)
2-1 @ 8.12% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
2-0 @ 7.02% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-1 @ 3.37% (0.026 0.03)
3-0 @ 2.92% (0.012 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.95% (0.022 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.05% (0.013 0.01)
4-0 @ 0.91% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 1.73%
Total : 38.35%
1-1 @ 13.04% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
0-0 @ 9.06% (-0.095000000000001 -0.1)
2-2 @ 4.69% (0.032 0.03)
Other @ 0.82%
Total : 27.62%
0-1 @ 10.47% (-0.069999999999999 -0.07)
1-2 @ 7.54% (0.015 0.01)
0-2 @ 6.06% (-0.017 -0.02)
1-3 @ 2.91% (0.017 0.02)
0-3 @ 2.33% (0.0020000000000002 0)
2-3 @ 1.81% (0.019 0.02)
Other @ 2.92%
Total : 34.03%

How you voted: Finland vs Denmark

Finland
26.1%
Draw
22.5%
Denmark
51.4%
111
Head to Head
Mar 23, 2023 7.45pm
Group Stage
Denmark
3-1
Finland
Hojlund (21', 82', 90+3')
Antman (53')
Jun 12, 2021 5pm
Group Stage
Denmark
0-1
Finland
Pohjanpalo (60')
Lod (4'), Sparv (51')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool29217169274270
2Arsenal301710355253061
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest30176750351557
4Chelsea29147853371649
5Manchester CityMan City29146955401548
6Newcastle UnitedNewcastle2814594738947
7Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton29121164842647
8Fulham3012994440445
9Aston Villa2912984145-445
10Bournemouth29128948361244
11Brentford29125125045541
12Crystal Palace2810993633339
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd30107133741-437
14Tottenham HotspurSpurs291041555431234
15Everton2971393236-434
16West Ham UnitedWest Ham3097143350-1734
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves3085174158-1729
18Ipswich TownIpswich2938182862-3417
19Leicester CityLeicester2945202565-4017
20Southampton2923242170-499


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!