Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Finland win with a probability of 48.92%. A win for Kazakhstan had a probability of 27.7% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Finland win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.49%) and 0-2 (7.47%). The likeliest Kazakhstan win was 2-1 (6.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.79%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Finland would win this match.
