Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a United Arab Emirates win with a probability of 50.9%. A win for Kazakhstan had a probability of 25.36% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a United Arab Emirates win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.66%) and 2-0 (8.39%). The likeliest Kazakhstan win was 0-1 (6.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.16%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for United Arab Emirates in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for United Arab Emirates.