MX23RW : Monday, December 23 07:38:25| >> :600:6092379:6092379:
Finland national football team
Euro Champ Qualifying | Group Stage
Jun 19, 2023 at 5pm UK
Helsingin olympiastadion
San Marino national football team

Finland
6 - 0
San Marino

Kamara (16'), Kallman (39'), Hakans (65', 72', 74'), Pukki (76')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Tosi (51')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Euro Champ Qualifying clash between Finland and San Marino, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Euro Champ Qualifying
Last Game: Finland 2-0 Slovenia
Friday, June 16 at 5pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
All competitions
Euro Champ Qualifying
Last Game: San Marino 0-3 Kazakhstan
Friday, June 16 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying

We said: Finland 4-0 San Marino

Finland would have taken confidence from Friday's win over Slovenia, and with momentum in their favour, we think that they will prove far too strong for San Marino. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Finland win with a probability of 43.93%. A win for San Marino had a probability of 34.36% and a draw had a probability of 21.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Finland win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.42%) and 1-0 (5.15%). The likeliest San Marino win was 1-2 (7.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.72%). The actual scoreline of 6-0 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Finland would win this match.

Result
FinlandDrawSan Marino
43.93% (-34.244 -34.24) 21.71% (6.293 6.29) 34.36% (27.9451 27.95)
Both teams to score 69.78% (34.659 34.66)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
70.16% (17.421 17.42)29.83% (-17.427 -17.43)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
49.01% (18.492 18.49)50.99% (-18.497 -18.5)
Finland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.5% (-4.39 -4.39)14.5% (4.384 4.38)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.5% (-9.216 -9.22)42.49% (9.209 9.21)
San Marino Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.61% (42.538 42.54)18.38% (-42.544 -42.54)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.48% (41.596 41.6)49.52% (-41.601 -41.6)
Score Analysis
    Finland 43.93%
    San Marino 34.36%
    Draw 21.71%
FinlandDrawSan Marino
2-1 @ 8.42% (0.402 0.4)
3-1 @ 5.42% (-0.704 -0.7)
1-0 @ 5.15% (-8.964 -8.96)
2-0 @ 4.97% (-11.201 -11.2)
3-2 @ 4.59% (3.072 3.07)
3-0 @ 3.2% (-9.151 -9.15)
4-1 @ 2.62% (-0.891 -0.89)
4-2 @ 2.22% (1.347 1.35)
4-0 @ 1.54% (-5.533 -5.53)
4-3 @ 1.25% (1.107 1.11)
5-1 @ 1.01% (-0.597 -0.6)
Other @ 3.55%
Total : 43.93%
1-1 @ 8.72% (1.721 1.72)
2-2 @ 7.13% (5.143 5.14)
0-0 @ 2.66% (-3.497 -3.5)
3-3 @ 2.59% (2.34 2.34)
Other @ 0.61%
Total : 21.71%
1-2 @ 7.38% (5.65 5.65)
0-1 @ 4.51% (1.46 1.46)
1-3 @ 4.17% (3.882 3.88)
2-3 @ 4.03% (3.697 3.7)
0-2 @ 3.82% (3.067 3.07)
0-3 @ 2.16% (2.033 2.03)
1-4 @ 1.77% (1.73 1.73)
2-4 @ 1.71% (1.664 1.66)
3-4 @ 1.1% (1.066 1.07)
0-4 @ 0.91% (0.899 0.9)
Other @ 2.81%
Total : 34.36%

How you voted: Finland vs San Marino

Finland
87.2%
Draw
2.6%
San Marino
10.3%
39
rhs 2.0
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