Euro Champ Qualifying | Group Stage
Oct 15, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Ullevaal Stadion
Norway0 - 1Spain
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Cyprus 0-4 Norway
Thursday, October 12 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
Thursday, October 12 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
We said: Norway 1-2 Spain
Norway can ill-afford to let their standards slip in this must-win fixture and will hope that Haaland and co can step up again against a Spain side who have conceded in just two of their last seven qualifiers. La Roja can qualify for Euro 2024 with a victory in Oslo, and although they are missing a few key players, the visitors should have enough quality in their side to get the job done on Sunday. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norway win with a probability of 42.31%. A win for Spain had a probability of 32.02% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Norway win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.89%) and 2-0 (7.2%). The likeliest Spain win was 0-1 (8.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.18%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Spain would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Norway | Draw | Spain |
42.31% ( 0.12) | 25.67% ( 0.2) | 32.02% ( -0.32) |
| Both teams to score 54.41% ( -0.77) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.46% ( -0.95) | 49.54% ( 0.95) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.43% ( -0.86) | 71.56% ( 0.86) |
| Norway Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.73% ( -0.36) | 23.27% ( 0.35) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 42.8% ( -0.52) | 57.19% ( 0.52) |
| Spain Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.91% ( -0.68) | 29.09% ( 0.68) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 34.99% ( -0.84) | 65.01% ( 0.84) |
| Score Analysis |
Norway 42.31%
Spain 32.02%
Draw 25.66%
| Norway | Draw | Spain |
| 1-0 @ 9.87% ( 0.28) 2-1 @ 8.89% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 7.2% ( 0.13)3-1 @ 4.32% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 3.5% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 2.67% ( -0.08)4-1 @ 1.57% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 1.28% ( -0)4-2 @ 0.97% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.05% Total : 42.31% | 1-1 @ 12.18% ( 0.11) 0-0 @ 6.77% ( 0.26)2-2 @ 5.49% ( -0.11)3-3 @ 1.1% ( -0.06)Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.66% | 0-1 @ 8.36% ( 0.17) 1-2 @ 7.52% ( -0.07)0-2 @ 5.16% ( 0)1-3 @ 3.1% ( -0.09)2-3 @ 2.26% ( -0.09)0-3 @ 2.12% ( -0.04)1-4 @ 0.96% ( -0.05)Other @ 2.55% Total : 32.02% |
How you voted: Norway vs Spain
Norway
18.6%Draw
14.3%Spain
67.1%161
Head to Head
Mar 25, 2023 7.45pm
Oct 12, 2019 7.45pm
Group Stage
Norway
1-1
Spain
Mar 23, 2019 7.45pm
Group Stage
Spain
2-1
Norway
Jun 15, 2013 4.30pm
