MX23RW : Monday, November 25 17:09:30| >> :600:3707443:3707443:
Norway national football team
Euro Champ Qualifying | Group Stage
Jun 20, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Ullevaal Stadion
Cyprus national football team

Norway
3 - 1
Cyprus

Solbakken (12'), Haaland (56' pen., 60')
Aursnes (18'), Finne (89')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Kastanos (90+3')
Pittas (37')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Euro Champ Qualifying clash between Norway and Cyprus, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Euro Champ Qualifying
Last Game: Norway 1-2 Scotland
Saturday, June 17 at 5pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
Current Group A Standings P GD PTS
1Scotland369
2Georgia214
3Spain213
4Norway3-41
5Cyprus2-40
All competitions
Euro Champ Qualifying
Last Game: Cyprus 1-2 Georgia
Saturday, June 17 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
Current Group A Standings P GD PTS
1Scotland369
2Georgia214
3Spain213
4Norway3-41
5Cyprus2-40

We said: Norway 3-1 Cyprus

History should repeat itself in more ways than one here, as Norway make it 12 wins from 12 against their lowly foes with another multiple-goal showing. The hosts' defensive deficiencies will hinder their chances of a victory to nil, but the Lions possess the necessary firepower to put Cyprus to the sword and force their way back into top-two contention. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norway win with a probability of 83.05%. A draw had a probability of 12% and a win for Cyprus had a probability of 4.99%.

The most likely scoreline for a Norway win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (13.02%) and 1-0 (10.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.64%), while for a Cyprus win it was 0-1 (2.09%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-1 win for Norway in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Norway.

Result
NorwayDrawCyprus
83.05% (39.124 39.12) 11.96% (-9.745 -9.75) 4.99% (-29.376 -29.38)
Both teams to score 38.2% (-31.587 -31.59)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.58% (-7.585 -7.58)37.42% (7.589 7.59)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.36% (-8.649 -8.65)59.64% (8.652 8.65)
Norway Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
93.28% (7.784 7.78)6.72% (-7.779 -7.78)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
75.15% (17.644 17.64)24.85% (-17.639 -17.64)
Cyprus Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
40.95% (-40.668 -40.67)59.05% (40.672 40.67)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
9.84% (-40.64 -40.64)90.16% (40.644 40.64)
Score Analysis
    Norway 83.05%
    Cyprus 4.99%
    Draw 11.96%
NorwayDrawCyprus
2-0 @ 14.46% (9.491 9.49)
3-0 @ 13.02% (9.821 9.82)
1-0 @ 10.71% (5.564 5.56)
4-0 @ 8.79% (7.247 7.25)
2-1 @ 7.62% (-0.799 -0.8)
3-1 @ 6.86% (1.44 1.44)
5-0 @ 4.75% (4.151 4.15)
4-1 @ 4.63% (2.015 2.02)
5-1 @ 2.5% (1.491 1.49)
6-0 @ 2.14% (1.945 1.95)
3-2 @ 1.81% (-2.783 -2.78)
4-2 @ 1.22% (-0.996 -1)
6-1 @ 1.13% (0.801 0.8)
Other @ 3.42%
Total : 83.05%
1-1 @ 5.64% (-3.075 -3.08)
0-0 @ 3.97% (1.302 1.3)
2-2 @ 2.01% (-5.123 -5.12)
Other @ 0.35%
Total : 11.96%
0-1 @ 2.09% (-2.424 -2.42)
1-2 @ 1.49% (-5.897 -5.9)
Other @ 1.41%
Total : 4.99%

How you voted: Norway vs Cyprus

Norway
74.1%
Draw
13.8%
Cyprus
12.1%
58
Head to Head
Nov 19, 2018 7.45pm
League Phase
Cyprus
0-2
Norway

Sielis (80')
Kamara (36', 48')
Elyounoussi (42'), Kamara (66')
Elyounoussi (90')
Sep 6, 2018 7.45pm
League Phase
Norway
2-0
Cyprus
Johansen (21', 43')
Elabdellaoui (44')

Laifis (41'), Efrem (85')
rhs 2.0
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