Euro 2024

Euro Champ Qualifying | Group Stage

Oct 12, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

Estadio Olimpico de Sevilla

Spain
2 - 0
Scotland

Morata (73'), Sancet (86')
Merino (45+4'), Carvajal (59'), Simon (61'), Laporte (90')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Dykes (36'), Patterson (51'), Hendry (84')

Andrew Robertson to return to Liverpool after shoulder injury

Scotland boss Steve Clarke confirms that Liverpool left-back Andy Robertson will return to his club after sustaining an injury in Thursday's defeat to Spain.

Oct 13, 00:30

Spain's Alejandro Balde in action with Scotland's Lyndon Dykes on October 12, 2023

Barcelona confirm Alejandro Balde has adductor injury

Barcelona reveal that defender Alejandro Balde is facing a period on the sidelines due to the adductor injury that he suffered in Spain's win over Scotland.

Oct 13, 13:09

Spain coach Luis de la Fuente on October 12, 2023

Luis de la Fuente reacts to disallowed Scott McTominay goal

Spain head coach Luis de la Fuente says that his side would have still beaten Scotland on Thursday if Scott McTominay's goal had counted.

Oct 13, 13:29

Scotland manager Steve Clarke on October 12, 2023

Steve Clarke: 'Scotland will not dwell on defeat to Spain'

Scotland boss Steve Clarke says that his side will not dwell on their 2-0 defeat to Spain in Seville on Thursday night.

Oct 13, 18:10

The Match

Form, Standings, Stats

Spain

All competitions

Euro Champ Qualifying

Last Game: Spain 6-0 Cyprus
Tuesday, September 12 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying

Current Group A Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Scotland	5	11	15
2	Spain	4	13	9
3	Norway	5	-1	7
4	Georgia	5	-8	4
5	Cyprus	5	-15	0

Scotland

All competitions

Euro Champ Qualifying

Last Game: Scotland 1-3 England
Tuesday, September 12 at 7.45pm in International Friendlies

Current Group A Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Scotland	5	11	15
2	Spain	4	13	9
3	Norway	5	-1	7
4	Georgia	5	-8	4
5	Cyprus	5	-15	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spain win with a probability of 54.35%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Scotland had a probability of 21.73%.

The most likely scoreline for a Spain win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.85%) and 2-1 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.37%), while for a Scotland win it was 0-1 (6.65%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Spain would win this match.

Result
Spain	Draw	Scotland
54.35% ( 1.55)	23.91% ( -0.39)	21.73% ( -1.16)

Both teams to score 51.41% (

-0.3)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.6% (

0.34)

49.4% (

-0.34)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.55% (

0.31)

71.44% (

-0.31)

Spain Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.92% (

0.72)

18.07% (

-0.72)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.01% (

1.22)

48.99% (

-1.22)

Scotland Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.75% (

-0.92)

37.25% (

0.92)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.97% (

-0.92)

74.03% (

0.92)

Score Analysis

Spain 54.35%

Scotland 21.73%

Draw 23.91%

Spain	Draw	Scotland
1-0 @ 11.51% ( 0.1) 2-0 @ 9.85% ( 0.31) 2-1 @ 9.73% ( 0.07) 3-0 @ 5.62% ( 0.3) 3-1 @ 5.55% ( 0.17) 3-2 @ 2.74% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 2.4% ( 0.18) 4-1 @ 2.37% ( 0.12) 4-2 @ 1.17% ( 0.03) Other @ 3.41% Total : 54.35%	1-1 @ 11.37% ( -0.18) 0-0 @ 6.73% ( -0.09) 2-2 @ 4.8% ( -0.09) 3-3 @ 0.9% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.1% Total : 23.91%	0-1 @ 6.65% ( -0.27) 1-2 @ 5.62% ( -0.24) 0-2 @ 3.28% ( -0.22) 1-3 @ 1.85% ( -0.13) 2-3 @ 1.58% ( -0.07) 0-3 @ 1.08% ( -0.1) Other @ 1.67% Total : 21.73%