Euro 2024

Euro Champ Qualifying | Group Stage

Sep 12, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

Ullevaal Stadion

Norway
2 - 1
Georgia

Haaland (25'), Odegaard (33')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Zivzivadze (90+1')
Davitashvili (64'), Zivzivadze (82')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's European Championship Qualifying clash between Norway and Georgia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Norway

All competitions

Euro Champ Qualifying

Last Game: Norway 6-0 Jordan
Thursday, September 7 at 6pm in International Friendlies

Current Group A Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Scotland	5	11	15
2	Spain	3	7	6
3	Norway	4	-2	4
4	Georgia	4	-7	4
5	Cyprus	4	-9	0

Georgia

All competitions

Euro Champ Qualifying

Last Game: Georgia 1-7 Spain
Friday, September 8 at 5pm in Euro Champ Qualifying

Current Group A Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Scotland	5	11	15
2	Spain	3	7	6
3	Norway	4	-2	4
4	Georgia	4	-7	4
5	Cyprus	4	-9	0

Georgia are a lot better than they showed against Spain last time out, and we are expecting an improvement from Sagnol's side in this match. Norway have two of the best players in the Premier League in the shape of Odegaard and Haaland, though, and we are backing the duo to play a key part in a home win here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norway win with a probability of 68.31%. A draw had a probability of 19.4% and a win for Georgia had a probability of 12.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Norway win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.31%) and 2-1 (9.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.21%), while for a Georgia win it was 0-1 (4.43%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Norway in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Norway.

Result
Norway	Draw	Georgia
68.31% ( -0.25)	19.39% ( 0.09)	12.3% ( 0.16)

Both teams to score 46.06% (

0.19)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.68% (

-0.01)

46.32% (

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.39% (

-0.01)

68.61% (

Norway Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.49% (

-0.08)

12.51% (

0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

61.48% (

-0.16)

38.51% (

0.15)

Georgia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

52.65% (

0.26)

47.35% (

-0.26)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

17.25% (

0.19)

82.75% (

-0.2)

Score Analysis

Norway 68.3%

Georgia 12.3%

Draw 19.39%

Norway	Draw	Georgia
2-0 @ 12.79% ( -0.07) 1-0 @ 12.31% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 9.57% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 8.87% ( -0.07) 3-1 @ 6.63% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 4.61% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 3.45% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.48% ( 0.02) 5-0 @ 1.92% ( -0.03) 5-1 @ 1.43% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.29% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.97% Total : 68.3%	1-1 @ 9.21% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 5.92% ( 0) 2-2 @ 3.58% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.68% Total : 19.39%	0-1 @ 4.43% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 3.44% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 1.66% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.78% Total : 12.3%