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Scotland national football team
Euro Champ Qualifying | Group Stage
Jun 20, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Hampden Park
Georgia national football team

Scotland
2 - 0
Georgia

McGregor (6'), McTominay (47')
Hickey (45+1'), Robertson (67')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Gocholeishvili (69'), Gagnidze (75')

The Match

Match Report

Scotland defy an extended rain delay to beat Georgia by a 2-0 scoreline at Hampden Park, edging closer to qualification for Euro 2024 in the process.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Euro Champ Qualifying clash between Scotland and Georgia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Euro Champ Qualifying
Last Game: Norway 1-2 Scotland
Saturday, June 17 at 5pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
Current Group A Standings P GD PTS
1Scotland369
2Georgia214
3Spain213
4Norway3-41
5Cyprus2-40
All competitions
Euro Champ Qualifying
Last Game: Cyprus 1-2 Georgia
Saturday, June 17 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
Current Group A Standings P GD PTS
1Scotland369
2Georgia214
3Spain213
4Norway3-41
5Cyprus2-40

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Scotland win with a probability of 55.76%. A draw had a probability of 25.3% and a win for Georgia had a probability of 18.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Scotland win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.59%) and 2-1 (9.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.72%), while for a Georgia win it was 0-1 (7.47%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Scotland would win this match.

Result
ScotlandDrawGeorgia
55.76% (11.834 11.83) 25.34% (3.636 3.64) 18.9% (-15.466 -15.47)
Both teams to score 43.37% (-26.416 -26.42)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.04% (-28.119 -28.12)57.96% (28.123 28.12)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.35% (-27.661 -27.66)78.65% (27.663 27.66)
Scotland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.17% (-6.327 -6.33)20.83% (6.332 6.33)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.5% (-11.006 -11.01)53.5% (11.011 11.01)
Georgia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.78% (-26.839 -26.84)45.22% (26.841 26.84)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.89% (-31.592 -31.59)81.11% (31.595 31.6)
Score Analysis
    Scotland 55.75%
    Georgia 18.9%
    Draw 25.34%
ScotlandDrawGeorgia
1-0 @ 14.77% (9.624 9.62)
2-0 @ 11.59% (6.621 6.62)
2-1 @ 9.2% (0.782 0.78)
3-0 @ 6.06% (2.863 2.86)
3-1 @ 4.81% (-0.607 -0.61)
4-0 @ 2.38% (0.834 0.83)
3-2 @ 1.91% (-2.68 -2.68)
4-1 @ 1.89% (-0.729 -0.73)
Other @ 3.15%
Total : 55.75%
1-1 @ 11.72% (3.003 3)
0-0 @ 9.42% (6.755 6.76)
2-2 @ 3.65% (-3.479 -3.48)
Other @ 0.55%
Total : 25.34%
0-1 @ 7.47% (2.961 2.96)
1-2 @ 4.65% (-2.73 -2.73)
0-2 @ 2.97% (-0.857 -0.86)
1-3 @ 1.23% (-2.937 -2.94)
2-3 @ 0.97% (-3.06 -3.06)
Other @ 1.61%
Total : 18.9%

How you voted: Scotland vs Georgia

Scotland
60.8%
Draw
19.6%
Georgia
19.6%
97
Head to Head
Sep 4, 2015 5pm
Oct 11, 2014 5pm
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13Manchester UnitedMan Utd2275102732-526
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham2275102743-1626
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